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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Sep 18.
Published in final edited form as: J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2011 Jan 1;56(1):e1–e8. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0b013e3181ff0bdc

Table 2.

Baseline patient characteristics associated with programme losses (deaths, loss to follow-up and transfers-out) and virological failure in multivariate Cox proportional hazard models.

Variable Deathsa LTFUb Transfers-outc Virological failuired

AHR (95% CI) P AHR (95% CI) P AHR (95% CI) P AHR (95% CI) P

Male sex 1.48 (1.17-1.88) 0.001 1.26 (1.05-1.51) 0.014 0.82 (0.64-1.04) 0.100 - -

Age 1.00 -
≤ 25 yrs (ref.) 1.00 - 1.00 - - - 0.50 (0.36-0.69) <0.001
26-30 yrs 0.72 (0.44-1.17) 0.185 0.74 (0.56-0.98) 0.033 - - 0.46 (0.34-0.62) <0.001
31-40 yrs 0.72 (0.46-1.13) 0.158 0.53 (0.40-0.69) <0.001 - - 0.33 (0.23-0.47) <0.001
≥41 yrs 1.34 (0.85-2.12) 0.208 0.48 (0.35-0.64) <0.001 - -

CD4 cell count category (cells/μl)
 ≤50 (ref.) 1.00 - - - - - 1.00 -
 51-100 0.57 (0.43-0.77) <0.001 - - - - 0.72 (0.55-0.94) 0.018
 101-150 0.50 (0.36-0.70) <0.001 - - - - 0.66 (0.49-0.89) 0.006
 151-200 0.40 (0.27-0.59) <0.001 - - - - 0.72 (0.53-0.98) 0.034
 >200 0.41 (0.25-0.65) <0.001 - - - - 0.47 (0.31-0.72) 0.001

WHO stage
Stage I and II (ref.) 1.00 - 1.00 - - - 1.00 -
Stage III and IV 1.94 (1.34-2.81) <0.001 1.24 (1.02-1.51) 0.031 - - 1.09 (0.84-1.40) 0.514

Log10 viral load category (copies/ml)
 <4 (ref.) 1.00 - - - - - 1.00 -
 4-4.9 1.06 (0.64-1.76) 0.810 - - - - 1.43 (0.93-2.21) 0.106
 ≥5 1.43 (0.87-2.37) 0.159 - - - - 2.05 (1.32-3.18) 0.001

Year of starting ART
 2002/4 (ref.) 1.00 - 1.00 - 1.00 - 1.00 -
 2004/5 1.41 (0.97-2.04) 0.070 1.76 (1.24-2.48) 0.001 2.00 (1.27-3.15) 0.003 1.38 (0.98-1.95) 0.066
 2005/6 1.17 (0.80-1.72) 0.420 3.14 (2.24-4.39) <0.001 2.88 (1.82-4.55) <0.001 1.48 (1.05-2.11) 0.026
 2006/7 1.11 (0.74-1.67) 0.624 3.64 (2.54-5.22) <0.001 4.34 (2.71-6.93) <0.001 1.74 (1.20-2.53) 0.004
 2007/8 1.11 (0.71-1.72) 0.653 4.86 (3.32-7.11) <0.001 3.65 (2.17-6.15 <0.001 2.49 (1.68-3.69) <0.001

LTFU, lost to follow-up; AHR, adjusted odds ratio; ART, antiretroviral therapy; CI, confidence interval;P, p-value and -, no association with particular outcome

a

3012 observations

b

3132 observations

c

3134 observations

d

3012 observations