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. 2013 Sep 19;7(9):e2421. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002421

Table 4. Rural population in Mexico with current hazard or that projected for 2050 for Leishmania spp. vector transmission.

Categories Vector species CURRENT B2 SCENARIO 2050 A2 SCENARIO 2050
CSIRO HadCM3 CSIRO HadCM3
20 50 80 20 50 80 20 50 80 20 50 80
Tropical Lu. cruciata 23.6 30.5 37.9 42.5 29.3 41.0 49.1 29.0 38.6 43.7 35.4 41.8 49.0
Lu. longipalpis 16.6 21.5 26.5 28.7 20.4 26.9 32.8 21.1 26.8 31.1 20.4 27.1 32.8
Lu. o. olmeca 10.0 13.1 16.1 17.6 12.2 17.1 18.8 12.5 16.2 18.2 12.3 16.6 18.8
Lu. ovallesi 11.1 16.7 20.7 22.9 16.0 21.7 26.3 16.3 21.3 24.6 16.0 21.9 26.2
Lu. panamensis 13.2 16.9 20.5 22.3 16.2 21.8 25.5 16.6 21.2 23.8 16.1 21.8 25.5
Lu. shannoni 23.3 30.5 36.4 39.4 28.0 38.5 43.5 27.2 35.8 39.9 29.0 39.2 43.5
Lu. ylephiletor 15.3 19.3 23.6 25.3 18.8 24.7 28.8 19.1 24.0 26.1 18.8 24.5 28.7
Temperate Lu. anthophora 11.8 14.8 21.7 20.3 15.7 16.1 20.1 14.0 19.4 18.0 15.4 18.5 20.0
Lu. diabolica 31.7 41.8 54.3 56.3 41.5 55.3 56.9 41.9 55.1 56.6 42.2 56.0 56.8

Census database from INEGI (www.inegi.mx); population expressed in millions.