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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Sep 27.
Published in final edited form as: Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2012 Jun 27;92(2):235–242. doi: 10.1038/clpt.2012.66

Table 3.

Number of preventable adverse events for the VUMC sample with an effective preemptive genotyping and mitigation strategy program.

Medication Adverse Event Gene Ancestry Risk Strata
(G=0, G=1, G=2)
Risk stratum prevalence
[pr(G=0), pr(G=1), pr(G=2)]
Nmed Overall Event
Probability*
NPmed,g,1 (number of events prevented)
G=1 G=2 Total
(G=1+G=2)
Abacavir (29) Reaction within first 6 weeks of treatment HLA-B*5701 allele All (Absent, Present,--) [0.944, 0.056, --] 87 -- 3 (3, 3) -- 3 (3, 3)
Azathioprine (30) Myelosuppression (leukopenia) after at least 3 months TPMT activity All (CA, 1 VA,--) [0.898, 0.102, --] 878 0.098 17 (13, 21) -- 17 (13, 21)
Clopidogrel (31) Myocardial infarction, death, or stroke CYP2C19*2 or *3 or *4 or *5 All (CA, 1 VA, 2 VA) [0.715, 0.263, 0.022] 6361 0.089 71 (13, 131) 8 (3, 16) 79 (23, 139)
Simvastatin (11) Myopathy during follow-up (average of 6 years) SLCO1B1 rs4149056 All (TT, CT, CC) [0.7225, 0.255, 0.0225] 17631 0.003 14 (4, 25) 5 (1, 14) 19 (8, 30)
Tamoxifen (10) Breast cancer recurrence at 9 years of follow-up CYP2D6 (IM or PM) EA (EM, IM, PM) [0.62, 0.33, 0.05] 540 0.186 11 (1, 22) 4 (0, 9) 15 (4, 26)
Warfarin (32) All bleeding events carrier of CYP2C9*2 EA (CA, ≥1 VA, --) [0.729, 0.271, --] 6651 0.13 172 (34, 316) -- 172 (34, 316)
Warfarin (32) All bleeding events carrier of CYP2C9*3 EA (CA, ≥1 VA, --) [0.851, 0.149, --] 6651 0.13 93 (8, 193) -- 93 (8, 193)

Total 398 (225, 583)

CA=common allele; VA=variant allele; EM=extensive metabolizer; IM=intermediate metabolizer; PM=poor metabolizer.

Nmed represents the number of individuals exposed to the medication within five years of the medical home date.

*

Assumed probability of the adverse event across all individuals receiving the medication. This value was not required for NPmed,g,1 calculations when examining abacavir because event rates reported(26) within genetic risk strata were used directly. We refer readers to the appendix for a sensitivity analysis that examines the number of preventable adverse events for varying assumed adverse event rates.