Table 3.
Medication | Adverse Event | Gene | Ancestry | Risk Strata (G=0, G=1, G=2) |
Risk stratum prevalence [pr(G=0), pr(G=1), pr(G=2)] |
Nmed | Overall Event Probability* |
NPmed,g,1 (number of events prevented) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G=1 | G=2 | Total (G=1+G=2) |
||||||||
Abacavir (29) | Reaction within first 6 weeks of treatment | HLA-B*5701 allele | All | (Absent, Present,--) | [0.944, 0.056, --] | 87 | -- | 3 (3, 3) | -- | 3 (3, 3) |
Azathioprine (30) | Myelosuppression (leukopenia) after at least 3 months | TPMT activity | All | (CA, 1 VA,--) | [0.898, 0.102, --] | 878 | 0.098 | 17 (13, 21) | -- | 17 (13, 21) |
Clopidogrel (31) | Myocardial infarction, death, or stroke | CYP2C19*2 or *3 or *4 or *5 | All | (CA, 1 VA, 2 VA) | [0.715, 0.263, 0.022] | 6361 | 0.089 | 71 (13, 131) | 8 (3, 16) | 79 (23, 139) |
Simvastatin (11) | Myopathy during follow-up (average of 6 years) | SLCO1B1 rs4149056 | All | (TT, CT, CC) | [0.7225, 0.255, 0.0225] | 17631 | 0.003 | 14 (4, 25) | 5 (1, 14) | 19 (8, 30) |
Tamoxifen (10) | Breast cancer recurrence at 9 years of follow-up | CYP2D6 (IM or PM) | EA | (EM, IM, PM) | [0.62, 0.33, 0.05] | 540 | 0.186 | 11 (1, 22) | 4 (0, 9) | 15 (4, 26) |
Warfarin (32) | All bleeding events | carrier of CYP2C9*2 | EA | (CA, ≥1 VA, --) | [0.729, 0.271, --] | 6651 | 0.13 | 172 (34, 316) | -- | 172 (34, 316) |
Warfarin (32) | All bleeding events | carrier of CYP2C9*3 | EA | (CA, ≥1 VA, --) | [0.851, 0.149, --] | 6651 | 0.13 | 93 (8, 193) | -- | 93 (8, 193) |
| ||||||||||
Total | 398 (225, 583) |
allele; allele; metabolizer; metabolizer; metabolizer.
Nmed represents the number of individuals exposed to the medication within five years of the medical home date.
Assumed probability of the adverse event across all individuals receiving the medication. This value was not required for NPmed,g,1 calculations when examining abacavir because event rates reported(26) within genetic risk strata were used directly. We refer readers to the appendix for a sensitivity analysis that examines the number of preventable adverse events for varying assumed adverse event rates.