Table 5.

Multilevel Regression Results Predicting Community Economic Problems

Predictor	2009 Economic indicator values		Post-downturn annual change
	Regression coefficient	SE	Regression coefficient	SE
Community-level predictors (N = 24 communities, df = 19)
CTC v. control community status	-0.022	0.115	0.091	0.118
County unemployment (%)	0.113	0.022 ***	0.470	0.117 ***
90+-day loan delinquencies (%)	0.254	0.077 ***	1.184	0.473 **
County poverty, ages 5 to 17 (%)	0.014	0.013	0.292	0.134 **
Individual-level predictors (N = 313 key leaders, df = 293)
Referred leaders	-0.017	0.080	-0.019	0.080
Female	0.309	0.083 ***	0.305	0.083 ***
MA degree or higher	-0.009	0.081	-0.004	0.081
Age	-0.001	0.004	-0.001	0.004
Years in community	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
Employment sector:
Business	-0.435	0.106 ***	-0.428	0.106 ***
Churches	0.178	0.117	0.172	0.117
Civic	-0.309	0.105 ***	-0.312	0.105 ***
Community coalitions	0.159	0.130	0.161	0.130
Human services	0.294	0.093 ***	0.296	0.093 ***
Judiciary	-0.051	0.103	-0.061	0.104
Law enforcement	0.117	0.101	0.121	0.101
Media	-0.011	0.114	-0.006	0.114
Recreation organizations	0.105	0.102	0.108	0.102
Health care	-0.066	0.103	-0.072	0.103
Schools	0.019	0.102	0.022	0.107
Intercept	1.665	0.313 ***	1.692	0.330 ***

^**p < .05,

^***p < .001.