Table 5. Stepwise error of simulation chain segments. SE: Simulation error, ABS: absolute level from measured data.
| Parameter | T bias corrected | Frost occurrences permonth of April | Blooma | Blossomb frostrisk θ | ||
| [h] | [d] | [d, DOY] | [−] | |||
| Frost | ABS | – | 25 | 4 | – | – |
| Frost | SEc | no | 7 | 3 | – | – |
| Frost | SEc | yes | <1 | <1 | – | – |
| Bloom | ABS | – | – | – | 117–126 | 0.163 |
| Bloom | SEc | no | – | – | – | – |
| Bloom | SEc | yes | – | – | 4–8 | – |
| Blossom frost | ABS | – | – | – | – | 0.163 |
| Blossom frost | SEc | no | – | – | – | – |
| Blossom frost | SE from phenol. modelscd | yes | – | – | – | 0.001–0.034 |
| Blossom frost | SE from time seriesce | yes | – | – | – | 0.021–0.075 |
a
min-to-max range across all ripening groups and phenophases.
b
min-to-max range across all ripening groups, phenophases and phenological models.
c
Mean absolute error (MAE), average over all grid points.
d
Error from comparison of measured blossom frost risk with blossom frost risk simulated with measured temperature (1991–2012).
e
Error from comparison of blossom frost risk simulated with measured temperature with blossom frost risk simulated.
with simulated temperature (1951–2012).