Table 3. Multivariate environmental similarity scores (MESS) for fossils that fell outside the potential distribution of their species. Negative scores indicate the distance outside the potential niche as a percentage of the niche's size.
Subsets | Variable | N | Mean MESS | Max MESS |
Total | BIO10 | 48 | −79.6 | −218.0 |
BIO2 | 7 | −26.4 | −61.6 | |
BIO5 | 5 | −45.7 | −85.4 | |
BIO8 | 4 | −206.0 | −814.3 | |
BIO4 | 3 | −27.2 | −58.7 | |
BIO6 | 1 | −1.6 | −1.6 | |
BIO17 | 1 | −7.9 | −7.9 | |
BIO13 | 1 | −25.3 | −25.3 | |
BIO12 | 1 | −7.5 | −7.5 | |
BIO19 | 1 | −16.4 | −16.4 | |
outside modern potential niche | ||||
BIO10 | 18 | −125.5 | −218.0 | |
BIO5 | 1 | −24.0 | −24.0 | |
within modern potential niche | ||||
BIO10 | 30 | −52.1 | −149.2 | |
BIO2 | 7 | −26.4 | −61.6 | |
BIO5 | 4 | −51.1 | −85.4 | |
BIO8 | 4 | −206.0 | −814.3 | |
BIO4 | 3 | −27.2 | −58.7 | |
BIO6 | 1 | −1.6 | −1.6 | |
BIO17 | 1 | −7.9 | −7.9 | |
BIO13 | 1 | −25.3 | −25.3 | |
BIO12 | 1 | −7.5 | −7.5 | |
BIO19 | 1 | −16.4 | −16.4 |
For example, a MESS score of −1.6 on BIO6 indicates that the fossil fell 1.6% outside the niche's breadth on the BIO6 climate variable (c.f., Figure 1). Only incompatible climate variables are reported here (see Appendix S3 in Material S1 for a full summary).