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. 2013 Oct 9;89(4):633–640. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.13-0201

Table 4.

Comparisons of the cumulative number of cases of cholera averted by oral cholera vaccine (OCV) and water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) scenarios applied to Haitian urban (U) and rural (R) populations by using Malawi, Mozambique, and India 20-year endemic cholera incidence data as baseline*

Baseline incidence rate as applied to Haiti U/R WASH 1 WASH 2 WASH 3 OCV 1 OCV 2 OCV 3 Combi 1 Combi 2
Malawi (1990–2010) U 42,828 41,072 34,794 38,793 29,704 19,093 46,213 38,913
R 35,739 30,034 23,155 38,843 27,964 19,476 42,761 32,673
Total 78,567 71,106 57,949 77,636 57,668 38,569 88,974 71,586
Mozambique (1990–2010) U 61,879 59,313 49,427 59,223 45,931 29,529 65,384 54,827
R 52,541 43,865 33,452 59,229 43,085 30,121 62,704 47,076
Total 114,420 103,178 82,879 118,452 89,016 59,650 128,088 101,903
India (1961–1981) U 3,711 3,530 3,010 3,421 2,508 1,588 4,124 3,473
R 2,911 2,454 1,956 3,437 2,387 1,620 3,753 2,856
Total 6,622 5,984 4,966 6,858 4,895 3,208 7,877 6,329
*

Combi = combination of WASH and OCV.

Total cumulative cholera incidence (with a discounting rate of 3% per year): Malawi baseline incidence rate scenario: 106,994 cases; Mozambique baseline incidence rate scenario: 142,754 cases; India baseline incidence rate scenario: 9,635 cases.