Table 4.
Baseline incidence rate as applied to Haiti† | U/R | WASH 1 | WASH 2 | WASH 3 | OCV 1 | OCV 2 | OCV 3 | Combi 1 | Combi 2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malawi (1990–2010) | U | 42,828 | 41,072 | 34,794 | 38,793 | 29,704 | 19,093 | 46,213 | 38,913 |
R | 35,739 | 30,034 | 23,155 | 38,843 | 27,964 | 19,476 | 42,761 | 32,673 | |
Total | 78,567 | 71,106 | 57,949 | 77,636 | 57,668 | 38,569 | 88,974 | 71,586 | |
Mozambique (1990–2010) | U | 61,879 | 59,313 | 49,427 | 59,223 | 45,931 | 29,529 | 65,384 | 54,827 |
R | 52,541 | 43,865 | 33,452 | 59,229 | 43,085 | 30,121 | 62,704 | 47,076 | |
Total | 114,420 | 103,178 | 82,879 | 118,452 | 89,016 | 59,650 | 128,088 | 101,903 | |
India (1961–1981) | U | 3,711 | 3,530 | 3,010 | 3,421 | 2,508 | 1,588 | 4,124 | 3,473 |
R | 2,911 | 2,454 | 1,956 | 3,437 | 2,387 | 1,620 | 3,753 | 2,856 | |
Total | 6,622 | 5,984 | 4,966 | 6,858 | 4,895 | 3,208 | 7,877 | 6,329 |
Combi = combination of WASH and OCV.
Total cumulative cholera incidence (with a discounting rate of 3% per year): Malawi baseline incidence rate scenario: 106,994 cases; Mozambique baseline incidence rate scenario: 142,754 cases; India baseline incidence rate scenario: 9,635 cases.