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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Oct 19.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA. 2011 Feb 23;305(8):790–799. doi: 10.1001/jama.2011.188

Table 2.

Screening Mammography Accuracy and Outcomes in Women With a Personal History of Breast Cancer (PHBC) and Matched Screening Mammograms in non-PHBC Women

Measure of Accuracy or Outcome
(Total Screens or Total Cancers, Both Groups)
Screens With
PHBC (95% CI)a
Screens
Without PHBC
(95% CI)b
P
Value
No. of screening mammograms (117 660 screens) [117 740 screens]c 58 830 [58 870]c 58 830 [58 870]c
No. of in situ or invasive breast cancers (956 cancers) [997 cancers]c 615 [655]c 341 [342]c
Cancer rate/1000 mammogramsd (117 660 screens) [117 740 screens]c 10.5 (9.7–11.3)
[11.1 {10.3–12.0}]c
5.8 (5.2–6.4)
[5.8 {5.2–6.5}]c
<.001
<.001
No. of cancers detected on screening mammography 402 261
CDR/1000 mammograms (117 660 screens) 6.8 (6.2–7.5) 4.4 (3.9–5.0) <.001
   DCIS detection rate (117 660 screens) 2.0 (1.7–2.4) 0.8 (0.6–1.0) <001
   Invasive cancer detection rate (117 660 screens) 4.8 (4.3–5.4) 3.7 (3.2–4.2) .002
CDR/1000 mammograms in PHBC of DCIS (12 135 screens)e 11.5 (9.8–13.6)
CDR/1000 mammograms in PHBC of invasive cancer (46 695 screens)f 5.6 (5.0–6.3)
No. of interval cancers 213 80
ICR/1000 mammograms (117 660 screens) 3.6 (3.2–4.1) 1.4 (1.1–1.7) <.001
Interval cancers, % (956 cancers) 34.6 (31.0–38.5)
[213/615]
23.5 (19.3–28.3)
[80/341]
<.001
Mammograms with additional same-day imaging or recommendation, based on initial screening recommendation, % (117 422 screens) 18.1 (17.6–18.6)
[10 612/58 696]
8.3 (8.1–8.5)
[4862/58 726]
<.001
AIR, based on final assessment (117 660 screens)g 2.3 (2.2–2.5)
[1377/58 830]
1.4 (1.3–1.5)
[847/58 830]
<.001
Mammograms positive and recommended for fine-needle aspiration, biopsy, or surgical consultation, based on final recommendation, % (117 640 screens) 2.2 (2.1–2.3)
[1280/58 815]
1.4 (1.3–1.5)
[798/58 825]
<.001
Sensitivity, % (956 screens associated with cancer)g 65.4 (61.5–69.0)
[402/615]
76.5 (71.7–80.7)
[261/341]
<.001
Sensitivity for detection of invasive cancers, % (749 screens associated with invasive cancer)g 61.1 (56.6–65.4)
[284/465]
75.7 (70.4–80.3)
[215/284]
<.001
Sensitivity for detection of DCIS, % (207 screens associated with DCIS)g 78.7 (71.4–84.5)
[118/150]
80.7 (68.4–89.0)
[46/57]
.74
Specificity, % (116704 screens not associated with cancer)g 98.3 (98.2–98.4)
[57 240/58 215]
99.0 (98.9–99.1)
[57 903/58 489]
<.001
PPV, % (2224 positive screen results)h 29.2 (26.8–31.7)
[402/1377]
30.8 (27.8–34.0)
[261/847]
.42

Abbreviations: AIR, abnormal interpretation rate; CDR, cancer detection rate; CI, confidence interval; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; ICR, interval cancer rate; PPV, positive predictive value.

a

Forty PHBC screens from women with a history of mastectomy, associated with ipsilateral cancer recurrence during followup, were excluded from analysis of accuracy; all rates are per 1000 screens, and all percentages are shown with numerator and denominator.

b

Forty screens without PHBC (matched screening examinations) were excluded from analysis of accuracy; all rates are per 1000 screens, and all percentages are shown with numerator and denominator.

c

Numbers and rates in square brackets include 40 screens with ipsilateral cancer (recurrence on mastectomy side), or 40 matched screens in the cohort without PHBC.

d

Cancer rate refers to all cancers identified in screening participants (screen-detected and interval cancers).

e

CDR in women with PHBC of DCIS (12135 screens) included DCIS detection rate of 4.9 per 1000 mammograms (95% CI, 3.8–6.3) and invasive CDR of 6.7 per 1000 mammograms (95% CI, 5.4–8.3).

f

CDR in women with PHBC of invasive cancer (46695 screens) included DCIS detection rate of 1.3 per 1000 mammograms (95% CI, 1.0–1.6) and invasive CDR of 4.3 per 1000 mammograms (95% CI, 3.8–5.0).

g

Estimates based on positive mammogram results are defined as Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) assessments 4 or 5 or a BI-RADS assessment of 0 or 3 with a recommendation for biopsy, fine-needle aspiration, or surgical consultation. Negative mammogram results included BI-RADS assessments 1 or 2 or an assessment of 3 without recommendation for biopsy, fine-needle aspiration, or surgical consultation. Missing final result was BI-RADS assessment of 0 with recommendation for additional imaging or unspecified evaluation or missing recommendation. All remaining assessments of 0 were considered negative.

h

Percentage of positive mammogram results on final imaging assessment associated with a cancer diagnosis.

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