Table 1.
Table Summary of case fatality risk studies of influenza A (H1N1-2009) included in the systematic review.
Referencesa | Country | Study period | Death definition | Case definition | Case fatality risksb | (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimated infections as denominatorc | ||||||
Bandaranayake 2010a 15 | New Zealand | Apr 09 – Sep 09 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 4.5 | na |
Chen 2011 19 | Taiwan | Jul 09 – Aug 10 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 1 | (0.6–1.4) |
McVernon 2010 39 | Australia | Apr 09 – Dec 09 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 10 | na |
Presanis 2011a 46 | UK | Jun 09 – Aug 09 | Confirmed deaths | Deaths to hospitalizations × hospitalizations to symptomatic cases × symptomatic cases to infection | 5 | (4–8) |
Presanis 2011c 46 | UK | Sep 09 – Feb 10 | Confirmed deaths | Deaths to hospitalizations × hospitalizations to symptomatic cases × symptomatic cases to infection | 9 | (4–14) |
Riley 2011 48 | Hong Kong | Jul 09 – Feb 10 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 7.6 | (6.2–9.5) |
Steens 2011 51 | Netherlands | Sep 09 – Apr 10 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 4.7 | (3.2–9.2) |
Sypsa 2011b 52 | Greece | Aug 09 – Feb 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB, adjusting for the sensitivity of LAB test and proportion of infections that are asymptomatic | 6.3 | (5.3–7.5) |
Wong 2013a 6 | Hong Kong | May 09 – Dec 09 | Excess deaths | Serology | 8.2 | (0.1–17.3) |
Wong 2013b 6 | Hong Kong | May 09 – Dec 09 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 5.8 | (3.9–7.8) |
Wu 2010 58 | Hong Kong | Apr 09 – Dec 09 | Confirmed deaths | Serology | 4.4 | (3.2–17) |
Estimated symptomatic cases as denominatord | ||||||
Abdalla 2011 10 | USA | Apr 09 – Apr 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 20.4 | na |
Baker 2009 13 | New Zealand | Jun 09 – Aug 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 5 | (3–11) |
Bandaranayake 2010b 15 | New Zealand | Apr 09 – Sep 09 | Confirmed deaths | Serology, scaling down to include only individuals with symptoms | 8.2 | na |
Bandaranayake 2011 16 | New Zealand | Jan 10 – Oct 10 | Confirmed deaths | Serology, scaling down to include only individuals with symptoms | 8.5 | na |
Brooks-Pollock 2011 17 | UK | Jul 09 – Nov 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 17 | na |
Chowell 2011a 20 | Mexico | Apr 09 – Dec 09 | ILI deaths | ILI | 1200 | (1100–1200) |
Cutter 2010 21 | Singapore | Jun 09 – Oct 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI of ARI cases × LAB + non-ILI of ARI cases × LAB | 6.7 | na |
Dawood 2010 22 | Australia | Jun 09 – Aug 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB | 9.4 | (7.1–13.2) |
Donaldson 2009 24 | UK | Jun 09 – Nov 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB + ANTIVIRAL service × LAB, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 26 | (11–66) |
Doshi 2012 25 | USA | Aug 09 – Sep 09 | P&I deaths | ILI | 24 | na |
Echevarria-Zuno 2009a 26 | Mexico | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 100 | na |
Flahault 2009a 27 | New Caledonia | Aug 09 | Confirmed deaths | Estimated cases, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 10 | na |
Flahault 2009b 27 | Mauritius | Aug 09 | Confirmed + suspected deaths | Estimated cases, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 10 | na |
Fraser 2009 28 | Mexico | Mar 09 – Apr 09 | Confirmed + suspected deaths | Confirmed cases among tourists, backcalculating from confirmation to infection | 440 | (370–520) |
Godoy 2011 31 | Spain | Jun 09 – May 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 30 | (10–40) |
Hadler 2010a 34 | USA | May 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI, adjusting for background ILI using LAB and emergency department visit data | 8.6 | (6.1–15.1) |
Hadler 2010b 34 | USA | May 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI, adjusting for background ILI using emergency department visit data | 5.4 | (4.7–6.5) |
Kamigaki 2009 35 | Japan | Jul 09 – Dec 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI, adjusting by medical institutions proportion | 0.7 | na |
Kim 2011 36 | South Korea | Aug 09 – Nov 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB, adjusting by medical institutions proportion | 16 | na |
Larrieu 2011a 38 | Martinique | Aug 09 – Jan 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 5 | na |
Larrieu 2011b 38 | Guadeloupe | Aug 09 – Jan 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 31 | na |
Larrieu 2011c 38 | French Guiana | Aug 09 – Jan 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB | 17 | na |
Larrieu 2011d 38 | St. Martin | Aug 09 – Jan 10 | Flu-related deaths | ILI × LAB | 0 | na |
Nishiura 2010g 43 | Japan | Jul 09 – Jan 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 0.94 | (0.8–1.08) |
Pebody 2010 44 | UK | Apr 09 – Mar 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB + ANTIVIRAL service × LAB, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 40 | (20–100) |
Presanis 2009a 45 | USA | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Deaths to hospitalizations × hospitalizations to medically attended cases × medically attended cases to symptomatic cases + deaths to medically attended cases × medically attended cases to symptomatic cases | 48 | (26–96) |
Presanis 2009b 45 | USA | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI | 7 | (5–9) |
Presanis 2011b 46 | UK | Jun 09 – Aug 09 | Confirmed deaths | Deaths to hospitalizations × hospitalizations to symptomatic cases | 15 | (10–22) |
Presanis 2011d 46 | UK | Sep 09 – Feb 10 | Confirmed deaths | Deaths to hospitalizations × hospitalizations to symptomatic cases | 25 | (13–40) |
Renault 2011 47 | Reunion Island | Jul 09 – Oct 09 | Confirmed deaths | ARI × LAB, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 7 | na |
Sachedina 2010 49 | UK | Jun 09 – Mar 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB + ANTIVIRAL service × LAB, adjusting for health-care seeking behaviour | 19 | (7–51) |
Simon Mendez 2011 50 | Spain | May 09 – Mar 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB | 43 | (38–48) |
Sypsa 2011a 52 | Greece | Aug 09 – Feb 10 | Confirmed deaths | ILI × LAB, adjusting for the sensitivity of LAB test | 17.5 | (14.6–20.8) |
Wilson 2009a 57 | Developed countries | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting by a multiplier of 10–30 | 10–30 | na |
Wilson 2009b 57 | Developed countries | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | ILI x LAB | 2–3 | na |
Wilson 2009c 57 | Developed countries | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Excess deaths | 5%–10% of the US population <65y | 4–60 | na |
Wilson 2009d 57 | Developed countries | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | 5%–30% of the Canadian population | 0.4–3 | na |
Laboratory-confirmed cases as denominatore | ||||||
Adhikari 2011 11 | Nepal | Apr 09 – May 10 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 1740 | na |
Ahmed 2012 12 | Abu Dhabi | May 09 – Aug 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 0 | na |
Balaganesakumar 2013 14 | India | Jan 10 – Dec 10 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 5500 | na |
Castro-Jimenez 2009 18 | Colombia | May 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 3800 | na |
Chowell 2011b 20 | Mexico | Apr 09 – Dec 09 | ILI deaths | Confirmed cases | 5000 | (4700–5300) |
de Silva 2009 23 | Thailand | Jun 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 580 | na |
Echevarria-Zuno 2009b 26 | Mexico | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 900 | na |
Garske 2009a 29 | USA | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed + probable cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 680 | (590–780) |
Garske 2009b 29 | Mexico | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 1230 | (1030–1470) |
Garske 2009c 29 | Canada | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 430 | (300–580) |
Garske 2009d 29 | UK | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 240 | (130–410) |
Garske 2009e 29 | EU | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 200 | (110–320) |
Glinsky 2009 30 | Argentina | Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 13500 | na |
Gomez 2009 32 | Peru | May 09 – Sep 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 1710 | na |
Gu 2013 33 | Japan | Jul 09 – Aug 10 | Influenza-associated encephalopathy deaths | Influenza-associated encephalopathy cases | 3600 | na |
Kool 2013 37 | Pacific Island countries | Apr 09 – Aug 10 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 1000 | na |
Mishra 2010 40 | India | Aug 09 – Oct 09 | Confirmed deaths, adjusting by hospitalization rate | Confirmed cases | 860 | na |
Nishiura 2009a 41 | USA | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 1230 | (210–3760) |
Nishiura 2009b 41 | Canada | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 180 | (50–410) |
Nishiura 2010a 42 | Argentina | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 2330 | (1970–2720) |
Nishiura 2010b 42 | Canada | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 400 | (330–470) |
Nishiura 2010c 42 | Chile | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 250 | (180–330) |
Nishiura 2010d 42 | Mexico | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 5580 | (5150–6020) |
Nishiura 2010e 42 | USA | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases, adjusting for delay from onset to death | 250 | (220–290) |
Nishiura 2010f 43 | 45 countries | Jul 09 – Jan 10 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 690 | (650–730) |
Tuite 2010 53 | Canada | Apr 09 – Jun 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 300 | (100–500) |
Vaillant 2009 54 | Worldwide | Apr 09 – Jul 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 600 | (100–5100) |
WHO. 2009 55 | Mexico | Apr 09 – May 09 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed cases | 2000 | na |
Wilking 2010 56 | Germany | Apr 09 – Mar 10 | Confirmed deaths | Confirmed + suspected cases | 110 | (100–130) |
na indicates not available; ILI, influenza-like illness consultations; LAB, laboratory specimens positive for influenza; ARI, acute respiratory infection consultations; ANTIVIRAL, antiviral dugs authorizations.
Letters following the year of publication (e.g., Bandaranayake 2010a) indicate one of multiple analyses, which are described in this table.
Case fatality risks are expressed as number of deaths per 100,000 cases or infections.
Overall: point estimates ranged from 1 to 10 deaths per 100,000 infections
Overall: point estimates ranged from 0 to 1,200 deaths per 100,000 cases
Overall: point estimates ranged from 0 to 13,500 deaths per 100,000 cases