Table 1. Inferred parameters of human demography under model B1 and B2 defined in Figure 4B.
Model B1 | Model B2 | |||||
Point estimation | 95% CIa | Point estimation | 95% CIa | |||
Parameters | Lower bound | Upper bound | Lower bound | Upper bound | ||
NANC | 13405 | 12075 | 15923 | 12386 | 10986 | 14875 |
NAFR | 27519 | 23246 | 38250 | 25536 | 22054 | 35939 |
NASW | 38287 | 10470 | 41812 | 9219 | 9906 | 44026 |
NCEU | 27070 | 3673 | 44075 | 38623 | 8842 | 43883 |
NLWK | 26793 | 15395 | 44540 | 10711 | 13288 | 41103 |
NYRI | 6635 | 5546 | 12003 | 22835 | 14809 | 44010 |
NEUR | 16689 | 12818 | 40709 | 14530 | 11792 | 25615 |
IBEUR b | 0.432 | 0.395 | 0.472 | 0.418 | 0.375 | 0.450 |
NNC | 164535 | 41032 | 401691 | 56697 | 33872 | 414434 |
IBNC b | 0.026 | 0.019 | 0.071 | 0.027 | 0.011 | 0.040 |
2NmC | 2.08 | 0.03 | 13.56 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 26.57 |
2NmY | 8.66 | 0.04 | 19.37 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 22.83 |
2NmL | 10.93 | 0.03 | 29.40 | 5.18 | 0.03 | 35.68 |
TNC | 793 | 567 | 1814 | 797 | 509 | 1981 |
TBOT | 10059 | 8526 | 12932 | 9971 | 8900 | 12834 |
aE | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.18 |
NEA | 228516 | 95844 | 451516 | |||
TEA | 2230 | 1479 | 3386 | |||
aEA | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.19 |
Parametric bootstrap estimates obtained by parameter estimation from data sets simulated according to CML estimates shown in the point estimation column.
Bottleneck intensity is equal to bottleneck duration (100 generations) divided by the bottleneck population size (NBEUR or NBNC).
Conditions for fastsimcoal2 point estimations were: 50–250,000 simulations per likelihood estimation (-n50000, -N250000), 30 ECM cycles (-L30), 50 runs per data set. Conditions for fastsimcoal2 CI estimations were: 100,000 simulations per likelihood estimation (-N100000), 30 ECM cycles (-L30), 10 runs per data set.