TABLE 2:

Bayesian credible intervals from 10,000 simulations of the final model; outcome cow level cumulative milk yield (kg)

Exposure (baseline)	Lower 2.5%	Median	Upper 97.5%
Intercept	17,740	17,980	18,230
ln* SCC1† (4.33)	−534	−482	−431
Month of first calving (January) February	−813	−485	−175
March	−1367	−1020	−676
April	−1901	−1526	−1153
May	−1916	−1565	−1218
June	−2478	−2167	−1858
July	−2610	−2310	−2019
August	−3308	−3017	−2732
September	−3633	−3345	−3064
October	−4240	−3960	−3676
November	−4625	−4336	−4045
December	−5270	−4957	−4636
Random effects sd:
Cow level	6173	6215	6286
Herd level	2534	2641	2747

*Natural logarithm.

†First test day SCC record at 5–30 days in milk during parity 1 (‘000 cells/ml).