Table II.

Bias of the naive estimator and probabilities of various outcomes when two experimental treatments are tested in stage 2 for the case where θ₁ = θ₂ = 0.05 and the case where θ₁ = 0.025 and θ₂ = 0.05.

Characteristic	t = 0.2			t = 0.5			t = 0.8
	b = 0	b = 0.05	b = 0.1	b = 0	b = 0.05	b = 0.1	b = 0	b = 0.05	b = 0.1
	θ1 = 0.05, θ2 = 0.05
Mean bias	0.0239	0.0291	0.0336	0.0326	0.0453	0.0608	0.0386	0.0568	0.0807
Pr(dS ≽ b)	0.78	0.67	0.53	0.84	0.67	0.45	0.87	0.67	0.40
Pr(S = 1 | dS ≽ b)	0.49	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.49	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.51
Pr(S = 1,d2 ≽ b)	0.29	0.25	0.21	0.33	0.25	0.19	0.34	0.25	0.16
Pr(S = 2,d1 ≽ b)	0.30	0.24	0.21	0.32	0.26	0.18	0.34	0.25	0.16
	θ1 = 0.05, θ2 = 0.05
Mean bias	0.0244	0.0293	0.0354	0.0360	0.0467	0.0631	0.0411	0.0615	0.0856
Pr(dS ≽ b)	0.76	0.64	0.50	0.80	0.62	0.41	0.83	0.61	0.34
Pr(S = 1 | dS ≽ b)	0.44	0.43	0.41	0.40	0.39	0.38	0.37	0.36	0.34
Pr(S = 1,d2 ≽ b)	0.26	0.22	0.17	0.26	0.19	0.14	0.26	0.17	0.11
Pr(S = 2,d1 ≽ b)	0.30	0.26	0.21	0.36	0.26	0.18	0.39	0.26	0.16