Table 2.
Odds of sale to pseudo-underage buyer |
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No. of neighboring establishments |
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Fixed effects | All establishments (n = 798) OR [95% CI] | 1–3 (n = 375) OR [95% CI] | ≥4 (n = 423) OR [95% CI] |
Predictors | |||
Law enforcement check at targeted establishment | |||
1–30 days prior | 0.39 [0.24, 0.64] | 0.40 [0.20, 0.77] | 0.34 [0.17, 0.69] |
31–90 days prior | 0.82 [0.60, 1.11] | 0.58 [0.37, 0.90] | 0.97 [0.65, 1.46] |
Law enforcement check at neighboring establishment (1–90 days prior) | |||
1–125 m | 0.69 [0.52, 0.91] | 0.93 [0.60, 1.44] | 0.61 [0.43, 0.85] |
126–250 m | 0.94 [0.71, 1.24] | 0.86 [0.50, 1.47] | 1.13 [0.82, 1.55] |
251–375 m | 1.00 [0.75, 1.31] | 1.33 [0.76,2.35] | 0.98 [0.71, 1.36] |
376–500 m | 0.93 [0.70, 1.25] | 0.96 [0.52, 1.77] | 1.05 [0.75, 1.47] |
Covariates | |||
Full liquor license vs. other | 0.30 [0.24, 0.38] | 0.40 [0.30, 0.53] | 0.37 [0.28, 0.50] |
Off premise vs. on premise | 2.06 [1.62, 2.62] | 1.36 [1.04, 1.78] | 1.80 [1.30, 2.49] |
Urban vs. suburban | 0.70 [0.55, 0.89] | 0.98 [0.73, 1.30] | 0.92 [0.67, 1.28] |
Intervention vs. comparison | 1.35 [1.06,1.71] | 0.97 [0.74, 1.28] | 1.24 [0.91, 1.69] |
Buyer gender: Male | 1.03 [0.91, 1.16] | 1.01 [0.88, 1.17] | 1.11 [0.95, 1.30] |
Buyer age | 1.42 [1.00, 2.00] | 1.24 [0.86, 1.77] | 1.78 [1.18, 2.68] |
Time since study initiation, years | 0.76 [0.69, 0.84] | 0.82 [0.73, 0.92] | 0.69 [0.61, 0.79] |
Random intercepts | s2 [95% CI] | s2 [95% CI] | s2 [95% CI] |
Establishment | 1.36 [1.11, 1.67] | 0.65 [0.44, 0.97] | 0.96 [0.69, 1.34] |
Buyer | 0.27 [0.15, 0.49] | 0.18 [0.08, 0.43] | 0.30 [0.15, 0.60] |
Variable | AIC | AIC | AIC |
Model fit | 5,898.80 | 2,870.27 | 2,893.22 |
Notes: Bold = statistically significant (p < .05). AIC = Akaike Information Criterion.