Table 1. Model-averaged parameter estimates [95% confidence intervals] for five measures of reproductive success as dependent variables.
| Path in SEM |
Hatching success | Fledging success | Body mass | Tarsus length | Sex ratio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily mean temperature | → | Dependent variable | -0,06 [-0.27; 0.15] | 0.01 [-0.15; 0.18] | 0.43 [0.06; 0.81] | 0.43 [0.07; 0.79] | -0.02 [-0.34; 0.30] |
| Total amount of precipitation | → | Dependent variable | -0.05 [-0.25; 0.14] | 0.04 [-0.13; 0.21] | 0.08 [-0.10; 0.26] | -0.01 [-0.16; 0.14] | 0.00 [-0.28; 0.28] |
| Nr. of hot days | → | Dependent variable | 0.14 [-0.03; 0.32] | 0.03 [-0.06; 0.11] | -0.10 [-0.25; 0.05] | -0.11 [-0.25; 0.03] | -0.07 [-0.29; 0.14] |
| Nr. of cold days | → | Dependent variable | -0.20 [-0.51; 0.11] | -0.02 [-0.10; 0.06] | -0.01 [-0.09; 0.08] | 0.04 [-0.06; 0.15] | 0.02 [-0.12; 0.15] |
| Nr. of dry days | → | Dependent variable | 0.01 [-0.06; 0.08] | 0.03 [-0.05; 0.11] | 0.23 [0.03; 0.42] | 0.05 [-0.05; 0.15] | -0.07 [-0.27; 0.14] |
| Nr. of heavy rain days | → | Dependent variable | 0.00 [-0.12; 0.13] | -0.04 [-0.15; 0.07] | -0.02 [-0.13; 0.09] | -0.02 [-0.11; 0.08] | -0.10 [-0.35; 0.15] |
| Nr. of cold days × incubation period | → | Dependent variable | 0.24 [-0.05; 0.53] | - | - | - | - |
| Date | → | Dependent variable | -0.04 [-0.21; 0.14] | -0.13 [-0.37;0.10] | -0.30 [-0.63; 0.03] | 0.04 [-0.15; 0.23] | -0.16 [-0.61; 0.29] |
| Incubation period/ Nestling period | → | Dependent variable | -0.20 [-0.46; 0.06] | -0.15 [-0.38; 0.09] | 0.22 [-0.07; 0.51] | 0.41 [0.03; 0.79] | - |
| Brood size | → | Dependent variable | - | - | 0.03 [-0.11; 0.17] | 0.18 [-0.07; 0.43] | - |
| Date | → | Daily mean temperature | 0.86 [0.27; 1.44] | 0.85 [0.31; 1.38] | 0.84 [0.74; 0.94] | 0.84 [0.30; 1.38] | 0.85 [-0.15; 1.85] |
| Date | → | Total amount of precipitation | 0.20 [-0.09; 0.48] | 0.05 [-0.11; 0.21] | 0.05 [-0.09; 0.18] | 0.05 [-0.11; 0.20] | 0.01 [-0.25; 0.27] |
| Daily mean temperature | → | Nr. of hot days | 0.64 [0.14; 1.15] | 0.74 [0.24; 1.25] | 0.75 [0.61; 0.89] | 0.75 [0.24; 1.26] | 0.82 [-0.17; 1.80] |
| Daily mean temperature | → | Nr. of cold days | -0.65 [-1.16; -0.14] | -0.43 [-0.82; -0.05] | -0.44 [-0.58; -0.29] | -0.44 [-0.83; -0.05] | -0.47 [-1.22; 0.28] |
| Total amount of precipitation | → | Nr. of dry days | -0.42 [-0.83; -0.01] | -0.39 [-0.75; -0.02] | -0.39 [-0.63; -0.16] | -0.39 [-0.76; -0.02] | -0.43 [-1.15; 0.28] |
| Total amount of precipitation | → | Nr. of heavy rain days | 0.92 [0.31; 1.52] | 0.92 [0.36; 1.48] | 0.93 [0.83; 1.03] | 0.93 [0.37; 1.49] | 0.91 [-0.13; 1.95] |
| Nr. of cold days | → | Incubation period | 0.36 [-0.02; 0.74] | | - | - | - |
| Nr. of cold days | → | Interaction | 0.96 [0.34; 1.58] | - | - | - | - |
| Incubation period | → | Interaction | 0.09 [-0.10; 0.27] | - | - | - | - |
A higher parameter value indicates higher effect size along the path in SEM. Paths highlighted in bold and italics show the effects of weather and non-weather variables on dependent variables, respectively.