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. 2013 Oct 15;10(10):5039–5061. doi: 10.3390/ijerph10105039

Table 3.

Studies reporting on sIgE as a predictor of the prognosis of MILK allergy.

Author N Study design Diagnosis Age 1 Period of follow-up Follow-up diagnosis Tolerance SPT (mm) sIgE (kUA/L)
Yavuz 2013 [53] 148 Retrospective Clinical history, positive SPT/sIgE and either positive OFC or history of anaphylaxis 1.6 years (IQR 0.9–3.1 years) 3.5 years (IQR 1.8–5.2 years) OFC if sIgE low and no recent reaction 45% Age-specific 95% PPVs to persistent allergy
<1 years: 1.4
<2 years: 9.3
<4 years: 9.4
<6 years:11
All: 11
Suh 2011 [36] 115 Retrospective Clinical history and sIgE > 0.35; or sIgE > 5 <24 months Mean 47 months (range 24–114 months) OFC or home introduction 41% Higher peak sIgE in first 24 months reduced probability of tolerance.
Savilahti 2010 [46] 83 Prospective birth cohort (n = 6,209) Open OFC and SPT ≥ 3 mm or sIgE ≥ 0.7 7 months Up to 8 years OFC or home introduction 78% sIgE higher in those with persistent allergy
Santos 2010 [54] 66 Retrospective OFC and SPT or sIgE NR Median 7 years OFC if SPT or sIgE decreased and no recent reaction 50% Peak > 10 mm reduced the likelihood of tolerance (HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.14–0.99) Higher maximum sIgE over time reduced the likelihood of tolerance
Martorell 2008 [16] 170 Prospective Clinical history or OFC, and SPT or sIgE 5.4 months (1–12 months) Up to 4 years of age OFC if no reaction in previous 3 months 82% Age-specific 95% PPVs to persistent allergy
12 months: 5.86
18 months: 9.79
24 months: 25.7
36 months: 7.38
48 months: 5.0
Skripak 2007 [23] 807 Retrospective review Clinical history plus OFC or elimination diet 13 months (range 1–209 months) Median 54 months OFC if sIgE < 2; or home introduction 15% Higher peak sIgE reduced probability of tolerance.
Saarinen 2005 [17] 86 Prospective birth cohort Elimination challenge test 7 months Up to 8 years Home challenge test or OFC 85% SPT 12 months after diagnosis: ≥7 mm AUC 0.84
Perry 2004 [14] 166 Retrospective chart review Clinical history or SPT/sIgE NR NR OFC if clinically indicated 45% <2 50% probability of tolerance
Garcia-Ara 2004 [44] 66 Prospective OFC 4.8 months (range 1–11 months) Mean 32.9 months (range 9–99 months) OFC 68% Age-specific 95% PPVsto persistent allergy
13–18months: 2.7
19–24months: 9
26–36months: 24
Shek 2004 [33] 49 Retrospective DBPCFC 34 months Up to 10 years DBPCFC 33% sIgE decrease of 50% in 12 months—0.31 probability of tolerance
sIgE decrease of 90% in 12months—0.66 probability of tolerance
Hill 1993 [45] 69 Prospective OFC or SPT 20 months Median 24 months Home introduction or OFC at 5 years of age 22% Lower in transient allergy
James 1992 [42] 29 DBPCFC 7 years (range 3–14 years) Median 3 years DBPCFC 38% Not predictive of tolerance Not predictive of tolerance
Sampson 1989 [12] 21 Retrospective DBPCFC 7.9 years (range 3–18 years) 1–3 years DBPCFC or accidental ingestion 19% Not predictive of tolerance

NR: not reported; HR: hazards ratio; 1 Age at diagnosis or entry into study; reported as mean or median (range).