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. 2013 Nov 18;8(11):e80962. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0080962

Table 2. Optimisation of the autocorrelation function, showing the auto-regressive (AR, φ n) and moving-average (MA, θ n) correlation parameters for models of increasing order.

AR order (p) MA order (q) φ 1 φ 2 θ 1 AIC
0 0 1969.509
1 0 0.17668 1772.993
1 1 −0.07139 0.29979 1774.255
2 0 0.28949 −0.14868 1773.324

The AIC for each model was used to select the model which best described the error structure (shown in bold). As increasing complexity failed to produce models with a lower AIC, models with more than 2 auto-regressive and 1 moving average parameters were not run [39], [44].