Table 2. Re-configuration decentralized model: results simulation experiments.
tPA rate (95% CI) | OTT min (95% CI) | tPA 0–1.5 hr (95% CI) | tPA 1.5–3.0 hr (95% CI) | tPA 3.0–4.5 hr (95% CI) | mRS 0–1‡ | |
Scenario | ||||||
0. Current practice | 14.4% (13.7% –15.1%) | 134 (63–235) | 14.3% (12.6% –16.3%) | 70.5% (68.1% –72.8%) | 15.2% (13.4% –17.1%) | 14.7% |
Pre-hospital phase | ||||||
1. Symptom onset to call for help | 16.1% (15.4% –16.8%) | 128 (50–238) | 21.0% (19.0% –23.0%) | 64.7% (62.3% –67.0%) | 14.4% (12.7% –16.2%) | 17.5% |
2. First responder | 15.3% (14.6% –16.0%) | 130 (63–235) | 15.5% (13.8% –17.4%) | 71.8% (69.5% –74.0%) | 12.7% (11.1% –14.5%) | 15.9% |
3. EMS transport | 17.2% (16.4% –17.9%) | 134 (67–235) | 13.2% (11.7% –14.9%) | 73.0% (70.9% –75.1%) | 13.8% (12.2% –15.5%) | 17.5% |
4. High priority transport by EMS | 14.6% (13.9% –15.3%) | 133 (64–240) | 14.8% (13.1% –16.7%) | 70.1% (67.7% –72.4%) | 15.1% (13.4% –17.1%) | 15.0% |
5. Combining all pre-hospital scenarios | 20.8% (20.0% –21.6%) | 127 (44–241) | 20.8% (19.1% –22.6%) | 66.2% (64.2% –68.2%) | 13.0% (11.6% –14.5%) | 22.7% |
In-hospital phase | ||||||
6. Neurological examination | 14.9% (14.2% –15.6%) | 130 (63–235) | 17.1% (15.3% –19.1%) | 69.9% (67.6% –72.2%) | 13.0% (11.4% –14.8%) | 15.7% |
7. Neuroimaging examination | 15.2% (14.5% –15.9%) | 127 (56–232) | 20.0% (18.1% –22.1%) | 66.9% (64.5% –69.2%) | 13.1% (11.5% –14.9%) | 16.4% |
8. Combing both in-hospital scenarios | 15.4% (14.8% –16.2%) | 124 (55–230) | 22.8% (20.8% –25.0%) | 65.5% (63.1% –67.9%) | 11.7% (10.2% –13.4%) | 17.2% |
9. Combining all scenarios | 22.3% (21.5% –23.1%) | 117 (32–236) | 28.4% (26.8% –30.3%) | 61.2% (59.2% –63.2%) | 10.4% (9.3% –11.8%) | 26.1% |
tPA indicates tissue plasminogen activator; CI, confidence interval; OTT, onset-treatment-time; mRS, modified rankin scale; EMS, emergency medical services.
‡Indicates the proportion of patients with good outcome (mRS 0–1) ascribed to treatment with thrombolysis. The number needed to treat to achieve one patient with mRS 0–1 at 90 days for OTT 0–90 = 4.5, OTT 91–180 = 9.0, OTT 181–270 = 14.1 [21].