Table 3. C- statistic, categoryless net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and relative IDI (rIDI) of the different models for prediction of five-year cardiovascular morbidity and mortality a in participants with a history of cardiovascular disease (N=282), all compared to a model with traditional risk markers b .
C-statistic | 95% CI | ∆ C-statistic c | p-value∆c | categoryless NRI c (%) | p-valueNRI c | IDI c | p-valueIDI c | rIDI d | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Traditional risk markers | 0.59 | 0.52-0.66 | |||||||
+ major CVD | 0.60 | 0.53-0.67 | 0.01 | 0.59 | 27.2 | 0.03 | 0.012 | 0.30 | 0.46 |
+ MDRD | 0.59 | 0.52 -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 6.2 | 0.61 | 0.0025 | 0.81 | 0.095 |
+ CRP | 0.60 | 0.54 -0.67 | 0.01 | 0.65 | 16.8 | 0.17 | 0.008 | 0.47 | 0.31 |
+ Homocysteine | 0.62 | 0.55 -0.69 | 0.03 | 0.27 | 24.7 | 0.04 | 0.019 | 0.13 | 0.72 |
+ NT-proBNP | 0.67 | 0.61 -0.74 | 0.08 | 0.023 | 39.0 | 0.001 | 0.067 | <0.001 | 2.55 |
+ all five | 0.69 | 0.62- 0.75 | 0.10 | 0.0067 | 50.8 | <0.001 | 0.089 | <0.001 | 3.39 |
CRP, homocysteine and NT-proBNP are log transformed;
including incident stroke, myocardial infarction or cardiovascular mortality;
including sex, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, diabetes, current smoking;
for comparison against traditional risk markers;
for comparison with the discrimination of the model with the traditional risk markers (0.026 in this study)