Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Nov 22.
Published in final edited form as: Demogr Res. 2012 Apr 25;26(15):10.4054/DemRes.2012.26.15. doi: 10.4054/DemRes.2012.26.15

Table 5.

Validation results for the corrected and uncorrected methods: Bias (the average difference between excluded observations and the median TFR estimate), SAPE (the standardized absolute prediction error), PIT area (the area above one in the PIT histogram), and the proportion of excluded observations that fall outside their 80% and 95% prediction intervals

Proportion of observation
Excluding Method Bias SAPE PIT area <80 >80 <95 >95
50 Observations Corrected −0.02 1.06 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.04 0.04
Uncorrected −0.06 1.00 0.11 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.01
DHS Corrected 0.03 1.23 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.04 0.07
Uncorrected 0.21 1.08 0.19 0.07 0.14 0.01 0.04