Table 2. Annual number of dengue cases estimated from mandatory notification and laboratory network surveillance systems by using Chao estimator, stratified according to geographic area and period of the year, metropolitan France, 2007–2010*.
No. observed cases |
Chao estimator |
|||||||
System |
||||||||
Year, region, period |
MN |
LN |
Common cases |
|
Estimated no. cases (95% CI) |
Completeness of MN, % (95% CI) |
Completeness of LN, % (95% CI) |
|
2007 | ||||||||
Southeast, May–Nov | 4 | 21 | 4 | 39 (26–87) | 10.2 (2.4–17.2) | 53.8 (12.6–90.4) | ||
Other areas, remainder of year | 52 | 365 | 21 | 2,070 (1,444–3,071) | 2.5 (1.6–3.9) | 17.6 (10.9–27.1) | ||
Total |
56 |
386 |
25 |
|
2,109 (1,481–3,109) |
2.7 (1.6–4.0) |
18.3 (11.3–27.5) |
|
2008 | ||||||||
Southeast, May–Nov | 6 | 11 | 4 | 18 (14–37) | 33.2 (7.6–44.8) | 60.9 (13.9–82.2) | ||
Other areas, remainder of year | 58 | 293 | 42 | 733 (595–938) | 7.9 (5.9–10.0) | 40.0 (30.0–50.6) | ||
Total |
64 |
304 |
46 |
|
751 (613–956) |
8.5 (6.3–10.6) |
40.5 (29.8–50.5) |
|
2009 | ||||||||
Southeast, May–Nov | 5 | 19 | 4 | 36 (24–79) | 13.9 (3.1–22.9) | 52.8 (11.6–87.2) | ||
Other areas, remainder of year | 63 | 331 | 38 | 1,021 (806–1,339) | 6.2 (4.5–8.1) | 32.4 (23.7–42.4) | ||
Total |
68 |
350 |
42 |
|
1,057 (841–1,375) |
6.4 (4.6–8.2) |
33.1 (23.6–42.4) |
|
2010 | ||||||||
Southeast, May–Nov | 91 | 174 | 75 | 234 (216–264) | 38.9 (33.2–42.7) | 74.3 (63.6–81.6) | ||
Other areas, remainder of year | 494 | 1,951 | 354 | 4,222 (3,932–4,558) | 11.7 (10.8–12.6) | 46.2 (42.7–49.7) | ||
Total |
585 |
2,125 |
429 |
|
4,456 (4,164–4,792) |
13.1 (12.2–14.1) |
47.7 (44.2–51.1) |
|
2007–2010 | ||||||||
Southeast, May–Nov | 106 | 225 | 87 | 327 (294–382) | 32.4 (17.2–35.7) | 68.8 (36.5–75.8) | ||
Other areas, remainder of year | 667 | 2,940 | 455 | 8,047 (7,217–9,045) | 8.3 (7.1–9.2) | 36.5 (31.1–40.7) | ||
Total | 773 | 3,165 | 542 | 8,374 (7,543–9,371) | 9.2 (8.2–10.7) | 37.8 (33.5–43.8) |
*Information on geographic area or period of the year was not available for 27 cases. MN, mandatory notification; LN, laboratory network.