Table 4. Number of dengue cases estimated from mandatory notification and laboratory network surveillance systems with Chao estimator after stratification according to geographic area and period of the year, metropolitan France, in 2010 and for 2007–2010*.
Stratification type, Y | No. observed cases |
Estimated total no. cases (95% CI) | Completeness of MN, % (95% CI) | Completeness of LN, % (95% CI) | Combined completeness, % (95% CI) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
With MN | With LN | Common cases | |||||
Geographic stratification 2010 | |||||||
Southeast | 97 | 229 | 80 | 332 (302–378) | 29.2 (25.0–32.5) | 69.0 (59.0–76.8) | 74.1 (63.4–82.5) |
Other areas | 488 | 1,896 | 349 | 4,071 (3,791–4,396) | 12.0 (11.1–12.9) | 46.6 (43.1–50.0) | 50.0 (46.2–53.8) |
Total | 585 | 2,125 | 429 | 4,403 (4,120–4,730) | 13.3 (12.3–14.2) | 48.3 (44.8–51.6) | 51.8 (48.1–55.4) |
2007–2010 | |||||||
Southeast | 113 | 320 | 93 | 558 (475–691) | 20.3 (16.3–23.8) | 57.3 (46.3–67.3) | 60.9 (49.2–71.5) |
Other areas | 660 | 2,847 | 449 | 7,684 (6,896–8,632) | 8.6 (7.6–9.6) | 37.1 (32.9–41.2) | 39.8 (35.3–44.3) |
Total |
773 |
3,167 |
542 |
8,242 (7,446–9,194) |
9.4 (8.4–10.4) |
38.4 (34.4–42.5) |
41.2 (37.0–45.6) |
Period stratification | |||||||
2010 | |||||||
May–Nov† | 524 | 1,694 | 386 | 3,186 (2,994–3,410) | 16.4 (15.3–17.5) | 53.2 (49.6–56.6) | 57.5 (53.6–61.3) |
Remainder of year | 61 | 431 | 43 | 1,407 (1,118–1,821) | 4.3 (3.2–5.6) | 30.6 (22.9–39.6) | 31.9 (23.8–41.2) |
Total | 585 | 2,125 | 429 | 4,594 (4,223–5,034) | 12.7 (11.4–13.9) | 46.3 (41.5–50.4) | 49.7 (44.6–54.1) |
2007–2010 | |||||||
May–Nov | 656 | 2,325 | 468 | 5,263 (4,764–5,873) | 12.5 (11.4–13.9) | 44.2 (39.6–48.8) | 47.7 (42.8–52.8) |
Remainder of year | 117 | 865 | 74 | 3,416 (2,761–4,303) | 3.4 (2.7–4.2) | 25.3 (20.1–31.3) | 26.6 (21.1–32.9) |
Total |
773 |
3,190 |
542 |
8,679 (7,817–9,709) |
8.9 (8.0–9.9) |
36.8 (32.9–40.8) |
39.4 (35.2–43.8) |
*MN, mandatory notification; LN, laboratory network; information on geographic area or period of the year was not available for 27 cases. Southeast includes the departments (administrative regions) where the competent vector, the Aedes albopictus mosquito, was established. †May–Nov is the period of activity of Ae. albopictus mosquitoes in metropolitan France. |