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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Nov 26.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA. 2012 Jan 11;307(2):10.1001/jama.2011.1961. doi: 10.1001/jama.2011.1961

Table 3.

Estimated slopes and net associations between continuous smoothed exposure to current and lifetime tobacco and marijuana and pulmonary function

Smoking exposure

Estimate type*
Units Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 second
(FEV1)
Forced Vital Capacity
(FVC)

Adjusted estimate
(95% CI)
p-value Adjusted estimate
(95% CI)
p-value
Current Marijuana Exposure
  Test of overall association -- -- .056 -- <.001
  Test of non-linearity -- -- .025 -- .035
  Slope at 5 episodes/month ml per episode/month 0.8 (−1.4 – 3.1) .47 2.8 (0.4 – 5.1) .023
  Slope at 10 episode/month ml per episode/month 2.6 (−0.3 – 5.4) .074 3.7 (0.7 – 6.6) .016
  Slope at 20 episode/month ml per episode/month −3.2 (−5.8 – −0.6) .017 −1.5 (−4.2 – 1.3) .30
  Slope at 40 episode/month ml per episode/month -- -- -- --
  Net association at 5 episode/month ml 4.1 (−7.1 – 15) .47 14 (1.9 – 26) .023
  Net association at 10 episode/month ml 11 (−6.2 – 29) .21 29 (11 – 48) .002
  Net association at 20 episode/month ml 14 (−4.7 – 32) .14 43 (23 – 63) <.001
  Net association at 40 episode/month ml -- -- -- --
Lifetime Marijuana Exposure
  Test of overall association -- -- <.001 <.001
  Test of non-linearity -- -- <.001 <.001
  Slope at 2 joint-years ml per joint-year 13 (6.4 – 20) <.001 20 (12 – 27) <.001
  Slope at 7 joint-years ml per joint-year −0.4 (−2.6 – 1.8) .74 0.0 (−2.4 – 2.5) .97
  Slope at 20 joint-years ml per joint-year −2.2 (−4.6 – 0.3) .079 1.0 (−1.8 – 3.7) .49
  Slope at 50 joint-years ml per joint-year −2.2 (−4.6 – 0.3) .079 1.0 (−1.8 – 3.7) .49
  Net association at 2 joint-years ml 30 (8.4 – 53) .007 59 (35 – 83) <.001
  Net association at 7 joint-years ml 53 (28 – 79) <.001 64 (36 – 92) <.001
  Net association at 20 joint-years ml 27 (−10 – 64) .16 76 (34 – 117) <.001
  Net association at 50 joint-years ml −39 (−141 – 64) .46 104 (−12 – 220) .078
Current Tobacco Exposure
  Test of overall association -- <.001 -- .003
  Test of non-linearity -- .29 -- .73
  Slope at 5 cigarettes/day ml per cigarettes/day −0.2 (−2.3 – 1.9) .85 −0.8 (−3.1 – 1.4) .46
  Slope at 10 cigarettes/day ml per cigarettes/day −2.8 (−4.8 – −0.7) .007 −1.3 (−3.4 – 0.9 .25
  Slope at 20 cigarettes/day ml per cigarettes/day −1.1 (−2.7 – 0.5) .165 −1.9 (−3.6 – −0.2) .025
  Slope at 40 cigarettes/day ml per cigarettes/day −1.1 (−2.7 – 0.5) .165 −1.9 (−3.6 – −0.2) .025
  Net association at 5 cigarettes/day ml −1.0 (−11 – 9.4) .85 −4.2 (−15 – 6.9) .46
  Net association at 10 cigarettes/day ml −6.3 (−23 – 11) .47 −9.1 (−27 – 8.9) .32
  Net association at 20 cigarettes/day ml −34 (−53 – −16) <.001 −26 (−46 – −7.0) .008
  Net association at 40 cigarettes/day ml −57 (−92 – −22) <.001 −84 (−136 – −32) .002
Lifetime Tobacco Exposure
  Test of overall association -- -- <.001 <.001
  Test of non-linearity -- -- .98 .85
  Slope at 2 pack-years ml per pack-year −6.5 (−12 – −1.2) .016 −3.5 (−9.3 – 2.4) .25
  Slope at 7 pack-years ml per pack-year −7.0 (−10 – −3.7) <.001 −5.5 (−9.3 – −1.8) .004
  Slope at 20 pack-years ml per pack-year −6.6 (−8.4 – −4.7) <.001 −4.5 (−6.6 – −2.3) <.001
  Slope at 50 pack-years ml per pack-year −6.6 (−8.4 – −4.7) <.001 −4.5 (−6.6 – −2.3) <.001
  Net association at 2 pack-years ml −13 (−23 – −2.4) .016 −6.9 (−19 – 4.8) .25
  Net association at 7 pack-years ml −46 (−72 – −21) <.001 −28 (−57 – 0.1) .05
  Net association at 20 pack-years ml −135 (−166 – −104) <.001 −95 (−130 – −59) <.001
  Net association at 50 pack-years ml −332 (−401 – −263) <.001 −229 (−310 – −147) <.001
*

Associations between continuous current and lifetime exposure measurements and pulmonary function were modeled via cubic splines (see Methods), and the estimates presented here describe the same analyses illustrated in Figure 2. The estimates presented are for slope (reflecting the incremental difference in pulmonary function observed with 1 unit of additional tobacco or marijuana smoking exposure) and net association (reflecting the net observed difference between persons with a particular level of consumption and persons with none). As illustrated in Figure 2, slopes vary at different exposure levels (i.e., associations are not constrained to be linear).

All estimates are from the 2 models (one each for FEV1 and FVC) illustrated in Figure 2, and include all four smoking exposure types (current and lifetime tobacco and marijuana). Mixed models with a random intercept and a random 3-knot age spline were used to adjust for repeated measures, and fixed effects were included for year, center and center-year (their interaction), race-sex category, education, asthma; cubic splines for age, height, waist circumference, second hand smoke exposure, PM10 and PM2.5; and interactions between the age spline variables and race-sex, asthma, waist spline variables, and height spline variables.

Data are not available at this exposure level.

CI – Confidence interval; FEV1 – Forced expiratory volume in 1 second; FVC – Forced vital capacity