Table 2.
Risk group size estimate for each HIV risk group in the Morocco modes of transmission model
| Population | Prevalence of risk | Population size estimate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (%) | Male (%) | Female (%) | Total | Male | Female | ||
| IDUs | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 18 500 | 16 576 | 1924 | |
| Stable sexual partners of IDUs | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 9250 | 962 | 8288 | |
| FSWs | 0.38 | – | 0.75 | 66 859 | – | 66 859 | |
| Clients of FSWs | 3.75 | 7.50 | – | 668 588 | 668 588 | – | |
| Stable sexual partners of FSWs’ clients | 1.96 | – | 3.92 | 349 671 | – | 349 671 | |
| MSM | 0.25 | 0.50 | – | 44 573 | 44 573 | – | |
| Stable female partners of MSM | 0.05 | – | 0.10 | 8915 | 8915 | ||
| People engaged in casual heterosexual sex | 5.75 | 10.00 | 1.50 | 1 025 168 | 891 450 | 133 718 | |
| Stable partners of people engaged in casual heterosexual sex | 2.54 | 0.08 | 5.00 | 452 411 | 6686 | 445 725 | |
| People with low-risk heterosexual sex | 57.67 | 61.73 | 53.61 | 10 282 092 | 5 502 766 | 4 779 326 | |
| People with no-risk heterosexual sex this year | 27.50 | 20.00 | 35.00 | 4 902 975 | 1 782 900 | 3 120 075 | |
| Population at risk of medical injections | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 17 829 000 | 8 914 500 | 8 914 500 | |
| Population at risk of blood transfusions | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 35 658 | 17 829 | 17 829 | |
IDU, injecting drug user; FSW, female sex worker; MSM, men who have sex with men