Table 5. Number of cases from cholera projected between the end of 2008–09 epidemic to January 1, 2012, by province under base case and under each intervention scenario at an optimal rate.
| Harare | Bulawayo | Mash west | Mash cen | Mash east | Midlands | Masvin | Manica | Mata south | Mata north | Total | |
| Base cases | 752 (623–936) | 5 (4–7) | 3118 (2788–3463) | 987 (858–1161) | 141 (121–163) | 163 (131–206) | 138 (112–170) | 766 (683–859) | 188 (173–204) | 82 (72–95) | 6340 (5565–7264) |
| PH & CWD | 111 (96–132) | * | 336 (310–381) | 50 (39–61) | 3 (2–5) | 5 (3–8) | 2 (1–3) | 112 (100–122) | 42 (40–44) | 30 (25–37) | 691 (616–793) |
| VA | 699 (198–934) | * | 2446 (653–3175) | 565 (116–985) | 126 (7–159) | 141 (7–204) | 117 (5–168) | 672 (222–858) | 170 (79–201) | * | 4936 (1287–6684) |
| TR | 358 (306–427) | * | 1149 (1060–1227) | 86 (67–107) | 4 (3–6) | 6 (4–8) | 2 (2–2) | 402 (354–440) | 126 (120–133) | * | 2133 (1916–2350) |
| SN | 453 (387–546) | * | 1513 (1396–1626) | 131 (105–161) | 6 (5–9) | 10 (8–13) | 4 (4–4) | 496 (439–546) | 146 (138–155) | * | 2759 (2482–3060) |
| PH & CWD + TR + VA | 102 (71–124) | * | 298 (224–324) | 50 (39–60) | 3 (2–4) | 4 (3–6) | 1 (1–2) | 102 (71–114) | 42 (31–47) | 31 (25–39) | 633 (467–720) |
| PH & CWD + TR + SN | 104 (90–123) | * | 303 (281–320) | 50 (39–61) | 3 (2–4) | 4 (3–6) | 1 (1–2) | 105 (94–113) | 45 (43–46) | 32 (27–39) | 647 (580–714) |
| PH & CWD + VA + SN | 101 (69–123) | * | 287 (213–332) | 47 (37–59) | 3 (2–5) | 5 (3–7) | 2 (1–4) | 103 (71–116) | 40 (29–43) | 30 (26–36) | 618 (451–725) |
| VA + TR + SN | 296 (154–367) | * | 991 (544–1075) | 77 (58–99) | 4 (3–5) | 5 (3–8) | 2 (2–2) | 340 (186–396) | 113 (69–127) | 80 (60–94) | 1908 (1079–2173) |
| PH & CWD + TR + VA + SN | 103 (71–123) | * | 293 (223–320) | 49 (39–60) | 3 (2–4) | 4 (3–6) | 1 (1–2) | 101 (71–113) | 45 (43–47) | 31 (24–39) | 630 (477–714) |
Data are given in the format [mean (95% CI)].
PH & CWD: Promoting hand-hygiene & clean water distribution; VA: Vaccination; TR: Treatment; SN: Sanitation; PH & CWD + TR + VA: Promoting hand-hygiene & clean water distribution plus treatment with vaccination; PH & CWD + TR + SN: Promoting hand-hygiene & clean water distribution plus treatment with sanitation; PH & CWD + VA + SN: Promoting hand-hygiene & clean water distribution plus vaccination with sanitation; VA + TR + SN: Vaccination plus treatment with sanitation; PH & CWD + TR + VA + SN: Promoting hand-hygiene & clean water distribution plus treatment plus vaccination with sanitation. * indicate the intervention/intervention combination which do not have any effect on case reduction in a province.