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. 2013 Sep 18;11:18. doi: 10.1186/1478-7954-11-18

Table 3.

Uncertainty for the projected reduction in diabetes prevalence for four intervention scenarios

Intervention (r2 for linear model approximation) 95% approximate credibility interval for projected reduction in diabetes prevalence, compared to no intervention (millions)
Combined (0.92)
0.9 to 6.3
Population (0.93)
0.0 to 0.91
High-risk (0.91)
0.0 to 3.01
Moderate-risk (0.93) 0.1 to 5.9

1Due to their approximate nature, the calculated lower bounds of these intervals were small negative numbers. Since it is not plausible that interventions could increase prevalence, we have truncated these intervals at 0.0.