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. 2013 Aug 30;1:28. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2013.00028

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Copyright © 2013 Prosser, Hungerford, Erwin, Ottinger, Takekawa and Ellis.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

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Comparison of model outputs for Qinghai Lake (QHL) and Poyang Lake (PYL) sub-regions for (A) 1 km deterministic and (B) 30 km Monte-Carlo model outputs using Eq. 3 (poultry to wild transmission risk) for the winter season. Insets (C,D) show comparisons for the breeding season Eq. 4 (wild to poultry transmission).