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. 2013 Dec;5(4):208–217. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2013.10.001

Table 1.

Parameters used in individual based simulation of on-farm epidemiology of MDV. Personal communication refers to Nick Sparks (NS). Z(k,v,j) is the quantity of virus in the atmosphere (VCN) on day k for an outbreak of virulence v in a cohort with vaccination status j (Fig. 1).

Parameter Symbol Value/s Reference
Daily dust production per bird (mg) d(t, Tc) 368 exp(− P(Tc)/t1.64) + 10.8 Atkins et al. (2013)
Daily transmission probability per bird per VCN/m3
 Unvaccinated αsham 4.93 × 10−8 From data in Atkins et al. (2011)
 HVT αHVT 8.26 × 10−10 From data in Atkins et al. (2011)
Total flock mortality (%) μtotal 3.6–6.8 Sheppard (2004)
Daily non-MDV death probability μ 11μtotalTc Atkins et al. (2013)
Age at introduction (days) e 2 Sheppard (2004)
Height of barn (m) h 2.5 NS pers. comm
Finishing weight (kg) w 2.5 NS pers. comm
Maximum dust threshold (mg/m3) E 7.15 Takai et al. (1998)
Initial dust (mg) D0 0–560 Unknown
Vaccination status j Sham, HVT Bublot and Sharma (2004)
Probability MDV infection on day k p αjZ(k,v,j)V(S0,sd) Atkins et al. (2013)
Growth scaling constant P(Tc) Tc1.64lnd(45,45)10.8368 Atkins et al. (2013)
Weibull shape parameter r 4.18 (3.38–4.99) Atkins et al. (2011)
Stocking density (kg/m2) sd 5, 20, 35 NS pers. comm
Initial cohort size (birds) S0 500, 5000, 30000 NS pers. comm
Cohort duration (days) Tc 30, 60 Sheppard (2004)
Dust reduction at end of cohort (%) ϵ 0–100 Unknown
Virus virulence score (%) v 16.5, 36, 46 Atkins et al. (2011)
Transformed virulence score vT arcsin0.01v Atkins et al. (2011)
Barn volume (m3) V(S0, sd) S0wh/sd Atkins et al. (2013)
Virus extinction threshold (VCN/m3) ze 10−9, 10−5 Unknown