Table 2. Univariable exponential AFT model with shared gamma frailty for the identification of predictors of time to next attack (inter-attack interval).
Independent variables
|
Unadjusted time ratio (95% CI) | p-value | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demographics | ||||||
Sex (Ref: female) | 1.21 (0.67-2.20) | 0.530 | ||||
Disease duration | 1.34 (1.16-1.56) | 0.038 | ||||
Age at disease onset | 1.01 (1.00-1.01) | 0.813 | ||||
Age at the most recent attack | 1.00 (0.98-1.01) | 0.666 | ||||
Cumulative number of attacks | 1.34 (1.16 - 1.56) | 0.000 | ||||
First attack, location | ||||||
Optic nerve | 0.82 (0.53-1.26) | 0.368 | ||||
Spinal cord | 1.15 (0.75-1.76) | 0.533 | ||||
Brain | 0.97 (0.5-1.91) | 0.938 | ||||
Most recent attack, location | ||||||
Optic nerve | 0.56 (0.37-0.84) | 0.005 | ||||
Spinal cord | 1.63 (1.09-2.44) | 0.018 | ||||
Brain | 1.00 (0.53-1.89) | 0.997 | ||||
Treatment (Ref: no treatment) | ||||||
Pd, duration of Tx | <6 Mo | 1.04 (0.65-1.66) | 0.883 | |||
≥6 Mo a | 1.64 (0.91-2.98) | 0.102 | ||||
Continued Tx | 2.97 (1.48-5.99) | 0.002 | ||||
AZA, dosage b | 1.68 (1.19-2.37) | 0.003 | ||||
AZA and Pd, combined Tx | AZA with <6 Mo Pd | 0.65 (0.26-1.64) | 0.366 | |||
AZA with ≥6 Mo Pd a | 7.45 (1.00-55.72) | 0.050 | ||||
AZA with continued Pd | 6.00 (1.85-19.5) | 0.003 | ||||
Rituximab | 6.06 (1.74-21.17) | 0.005 | ||||
Interferon beta | 0.64 (0.39-1.08) | 0.093 | ||||
Cyclophosphamide | 2.88 (0.81-10.21) | 0.102 | ||||
Mycophenolate | 1.56 (0.36-6.68) | 0.549 | ||||
Mitoxantrone | 1.71 (0.45-6.54) | 0.432 | ||||
Methotrexate | 1.93 (0.40-9.39) | 0.415 |
Abbreviations: AFT, accelerated failure time; AQP4-Ab, aquaporin-4 autoantibody; AZA, azathioprine; CI, confidence interval; F, female; M, male; Mo, month; NMO, neuromyelitis optica; other NMOSD, neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder other than NMO; Pd, oral prednisolone; Ref, reference value; Tx, treatment
a Oral prednisolone was discontinued before the next attack
b Analyzed as a linear variable