Table 2. Univariable and multivariable analyses of the risk factors for presentation with malaria in the previous 2 months (n = 219,845).
Characteristics | Univariable Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | |||
Crude OR [95% CI] | p-Value | AOR [95% CI] | p-Value | PAF % [95% CI] | |
Species | |||||
Negative | Reference | Reference | |||
P. falciparum | 1.48 [1.45–1.51] | <0.001 | 1.24 [1.21–1.27] | <0.001 | 2.0 [1.8–2.2] |
P. vivax | 1.90 [1.85–1.95] | <0.001 | 1.41 [1.37–1.45] | <0.001 | 2.2 [2.0–2.4] |
P. malariae | 0.49 [0.43–0.55] | <0.001 | 0.38 [0.34–0.44] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
Mixed species | 1.93 [1.86–2.01] | <0.001 | 1.39 [1.33–1.44] | <0.001 | 0.8 [0.7–0.9] |
Age group | |||||
≥15 years | Reference | Reference | |||
<1 year | 0.93 [0.88–0.98] | 0.01 | 0.92 [0.88–0.97] | 0.003 | <0 [<0–<0] |
1 to <5 years | 2.29 [2.21–2.37] | <0.001 | 2.09 [2.02–2.16] | <0.001 | 11.3 [11.1–11.6] |
5 to <15 years | 1.48 [1.42–1.53] | <0.001 | 1.31 [1.27–1.36] | <0.001 | 2.8 [2.6–3.0] |
Gender | |||||
Female | 0.97 [0.94–1.00] | 0.02 | 1.01 [0.99–1.04] | 0.37 | 0.6 [0.0–1.1] |
Ethnicity | |||||
Non-Papuan | Reference | Reference | |||
Highland Papuan | 4.15 [3.92–4.40] | <0.001 | 3.80 [3.58–4.03] | <0.001 | 60.9 [60.1–61.6] |
Lowland Papuan | 1.45 [1.34–1.56] | <0.001 | 1.38 [1.28–1.49] | <0.001 | 1.8 [1.6–2.0] |
Year a | |||||
2004 | Reference | Reference | |||
2005 | 1.28 [1.20–1.35] | <0.001 | 1.28 [1.21–1.36] | <0.001 | |
2006 | 1.22 [1.15–1.30] | <0.001 | 1.22 [1.15–1.30] | <0.001 | |
2007 | 1.61 [1.52–1.71] | <0.001 | 1.61 [1.52–1.71] | <0.001 | |
2008 | 1.58 [1.49–1.68] | <0.001 | 1.61 [1.52–1.71] | <0.001 | |
2009 | 1.91 [1.80–2.02] | <0.001 | 1.79 [1.69–1.90] | <0.001 | |
2010 | 1.78 [1.67–1.88] | <0.001 | 1.65 [1.56–1.75] | <0.001 | |
2011 | 1.46 [1.38–1.55] | <0.001 | 1.39 [1.31–1.48] | <0.001 | |
2012 | 1.99 [1.88–2.11] | <0.001 | 1.92 [1.82–2.04] | <0.001 | |
Department b | |||||
Outpatient | Reference | ||||
Inpatient | 0.72 [0.71–0.74] | <0.001 |
a Included in model for calculation of overall PAFs but PAFs not presented.
b Not included in the multivariable model as deemed to be a consequence of severe disease rather than a confounder.
OR, odds ratio.