Table 5. Univariable and multivariable analyses of the risk factors for death (n = 219,845).
Characteristics | Univariable Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | |||
Crude OR [95% CI] | p-Value | AOR [95% CI] | p-Value | PAF % [95% CI] | |
Anemia | |||||
Hemoglobin ≥5 g/dl | Reference | Reference | |||
Hemoglobin <5 g/dl | 4.63 [4.16–5.16] | <0.001 | 5.80 [5.17–6.50] | <0.001 | 11.9 [10.6–13.2] |
Species | |||||
Negative | Reference | Reference | |||
P. falciparum | 0.61 [0.54–0.68] | <0.001 | 0.57 [0.51–0.65] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
P. vivax | 0.38 [0.31–0.46] | <0.001 | 0.37 [0.31–0.45] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
P. malariae | 0.58 [0.34–0.99] | 0.05 | 0.57 [0.34–0.98] | 0.04 | <0 [<0–<0] |
Mixed species | 0.47 [0.37–0.61] | <0.001 | 0.45 [0.35–0.59] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
Age group | |||||
≥15 years | Reference | Reference | |||
<1 year | 1.43 [1.28–1.60] | <0.001 | 1.40 [1.25–1.58] | <0.001 | 4.0 [2.5–5.4] |
1 to <5 years | 0.60 [0.53–0.67] | <0.001 | 0.62 [0.55–0.70] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
5 to <15 years | 0.57 [0.49–0.66] | <0.001 | 0.60 [0.51–0.69] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
Gender | |||||
Female | 0.63 [0.58–0.68] | <0.001 | 0.58 [0.54–0.63] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
Ethnicity | |||||
Non-Papuan | Reference | Reference | |||
Highland Papuan | 0.61 [0.55–0.67] | <0.001 | 0.64 [0.58–0.71] | <0.001 | <0 [<0–<0] |
Lowland Papuan | 0.93 [0.83–1.05] | 0.26 | 0.95 [0.84–1.08] | 0.46 | <0 [<0–1.4] |
Year a | |||||
2004 | Reference | Reference | |||
2005 | 0.99 [0.81–1.21] | 0.94 | 1.09 [0.89–1.33] | 0.39 | |
2006 | 1.41 [1.16–1.71] | <0.001 | 1.47 [1.21–1.79] | <0.001 | |
2007 | 1.57 [1.30–1.89] | <0.001 | 1.54 [1.27–1.86] | <0.001 | |
2008 | 1.85 [1.53–2.24] | <0.001 | 1.84 [1.52–2.23] | <0.001 | |
2009 | 0.93 [0.77–1.13] | 0.48 | 1.04 [0.85–1.27] | 0.70 | |
2010 | 0.77 [0.63–0.94] | 0.01 | 0.87 [0.71–1.07] | 0.19 | |
2011 | 0.95 [0.78–1.16] | 0.60 | 1.05 [0.86–1.29] | 0.61 | |
2012 | 0.87 [0.71–1.05] | 0.15 | 0.99 [0.81–1.20] | 0.90 | |
Presentation with malaria in the last 2 months b | |||||
No episodes | Reference | ||||
1 episode | 0.63 [0.54–0.72] | <0.001 | |||
2 or more episodes | 0.59 [0.42–0.82] | <0.001 |
a Included in model for calculation of overall PAFs but PAFs not presented.
b Number of previous presentations not included in the multivariable model as this would potentially obscure the net clinical severity of Plasmodium infection.
OR odds ratio.