Table 1.
Summary of meta-analyses evaluating the effect of antiviral treatment on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B
1st author, year | No. of studies, total (used1) | Total No. of patients, treated/untreated | Treatment regimen | HCC cases, total n | HCC incidence | RD or RR | 95%CI | P value |
Cammà et al[22], 2001 | 7 | 853/652 | IFN-α | 122 | Overall | RD = -6.4 | -2.8--10 | < 0.001 |
(5) | European studies | RD = -4.8 | -11.1-1.5 | NS | ||||
(2) | Oriental studies | RD = -8.0 | -1.4--14.6 | < 0.001 | ||||
Sung et al[23], 2008 | 12 | 1292/1458 | IFN-α | 190 | Overall | RR = 0.66 | 0.48-0.89 | 0.006 |
(6) | Cirrhotics | RR = 0.53 | 0.36-0.78 | 0.001 | ||||
(3) | Non-cirrhotics | RR = 0.72 | 0.16-3.15 | NS | ||||
(4) | Virological responders | RR = 0.76 | 0.08-7.23 | NS | ||||
(4) | Non-virological responders | RR = 0.64 | 0.33-1.26 | NS | ||||
Yang et al[24], 2009 | 11 | 1006/1076 | IFN-α | 178 | Overall | RR = 0.59 | 0.43-0.81 | 0.001 |
Miyake et al[25], 2009 | 8 | 553/750 | IFN-α | 100 | Overall | RD = -5.0 | -9.4--0.5 | 0.028 |
(3) | European studies | RD = -0.5 | -4.9-4.0 | NS | ||||
(5) | Asian studies | RD = -8.5 | -13.6--3.6 | 0.001 | ||||
(5) | Incidental rate of HCC ≥ 10% | RD = -9.4 | -14.2--4.6 | < 0.001 | ||||
(3) | Incidental rate of HCC < 10% | RD = -0.2 | -4.3-4.7 | NS | ||||
(4) | HBeAg positive ≥ 70% | RD = -6.0 | -11.8--0.2 | 0.043 | ||||
(3) | HBeAg positive < 70% | RD = -5.4 | -15.4-4.6 | NS | ||||
Sung et al[23], 2008 | 5 | 1267/1022 | LAM | 152 | Overall | RR = 0.22 | 0.10-0.50 | < 0.001 |
(3) | Cirrhotics | RR = 0.17 | 0.04-0.79 | 0.020 | ||||
(2) | Non-cirrhotics | RR = 0.21 | 0.10-0.47 | < 0.001 | ||||
(3) | Drug resistance | RR = 0.52 | 0.28-0.97 | 0.040 | ||||
(3) | Without drug resistance | RR = 0.37 | 0.17-0.77 | 0.008 | ||||
(3) | HBeAg positive | RR = 0.21 | 0.10-0.44 | < 0.001 | ||||
(3) | HBeAg negative | RR = 0.25 | 0.06-1.06 | NS | ||||
Papatheodoridis et al[38], 2010 | 21 (3) | 3881/534 | LAM | 202 | Treated vs untreated | 2.8% (22/779) vs 6.4% (34/534) | 0.003 | |
(3) | Treated in remission vs untreated | 2.5% (9/353) vs 6.4% (34/534) | 0.015 | |||||
(3) | Treated without remission vs untreated | 2.8% (12/426) vs 6.4% (34/534) | 0.016 | |||||
(10) | Treated in remission vs treated without remission | 2.3% (23/982) vs 7.5% (64/852) | < 0.001 | |||||
(14) | Treated in remission under initial therapy vs treated in remission under rescue therapy | 2.3% (23/982) vs 5.9% (19/320) | 0.003 | |||||
Singal et al[49], 2013 | 49 (6) | 10025/3571 | LAM or Other NAs3 | 808 | LAM2 vs untreated | RR = 0.48 | 0.38-0.61 | < 0.001 |
(49) | No difference between NAs3 | Pooled HCC incidence rate: 1.3 (1.1-1.6) per 100 person-years |
Number of studies included in each analysis;
In 6 studies including both LAM treated (n = 3306) and untreated patients (n = 3571);
In the 49 studies, there were 5946 patients treated with LAM, 1929 patients treated with adefovir, 879 patients treated with entecavir, 616 patients treated with telbivudine and 657 patients treated with tenofovir. IFN-α : Interferon-α; LAM: Lamivudine; NS: Non-significant.