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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Adolesc Health. 2013 Aug 29;54(1):10.1016/j.jadohealth.2013.07.013. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2013.07.013

Table 2.

Frailty models predicting sexual intercourse onset

Model 1 Model 2a Model 3

Variable Hazard Ratio 95% CI Hazard Ratio 95% CI Hazard Ratio 95% CI
Zygosity 1.09 .99 – 1.18 1.08 .99–1.18 1.08 .99–1.16
Age .98** .96 – .99 .98** .96 – .99 .98** .96–.99
Gender 1.03 .94–1.12 .94 .85–1.03 .93 .85–1.03
Level 1 Smoking Onset 1.00 .97 – 1.02 1.00 .97–1.02 1.00 .97–1.02
Level 2 Smoking Onset .98** .96–.99 .99 .97–1.00 .99 .97 – 1.00
Level 1 Drinking Onset .98 .95–1.02 .99 .95–1.02 .98 .95–1.02
Level 2 Drinking Onset 1.01 .98 – 1.04 1.02 .99–1.05 1.02 .99–1.05
Level 1 Drunkenness Onset .96* .92–1.00 .96* 92.–1.00 1.00 .95–1.05
Level 2 Drunkenness Onset .87** .84–.89 .88** .85–.90 .88** .85–.90
Level 1 Conduct Disorder - - 1.07 .92 – 1.24 1.06 .92–1.23
Level 2 Conduct Disorder - - 1.38** 1.23 – 1.54 1.39** 1.25–1.54
Level 1 Drunkenness Onset x Zygosity - - - - .92** .86–.98
*

p<.05;

**

p<.01

a

Note: When Model 2 is re-run using grand-mean centered level-2 predictors, results indicated that when controlling for level-1 effects and conduct disorder symptoms, average age of smoking (HR = 1.00, p=.67), drinking (HR =.99, p=.49), and conduct disorder (HR = 1.19, p=.06) were not significant contextual effects. Average age of drunkenness (HR= .91, p<.001) was a significant contextual effect, indicating that this effect was significantly stronger than the respective level-1 variable.