Table 1. Sensitivity analyses of the predicted number of under-five lives that could be saved with full funding for all LLINs needed versus currently funded LLINs, depending on malaria mortality assumptions.

	Predicted no. child lives saved* (lower/upper uncertainty limits)**
	2013	2014	2015	2016	2013-16
LLINs required to fully fill estimated needs	253,500	293,997	310,112	322,875	1,180,484
	(152,220 – 369,022)	(176,162 – 427,878)	(185,456 – 451,565)	(193,198 – 470,478)	(707,036 – 1,718,943)
Currently funded LLINs	249,870	271,754	246,010	170,885	938,519
	(150,031 – 363,520)	(162,486 – 395,020)	(145,954 – 357,548)	(100,882 – 248,071)	(559,353 – 1,364,159)
Mortality gap	3,630	22,243	64,102	151,990	241,965
	(2,189 – 5,502)	(13,676 – 32,858)	(39,502 – 94,017)	(92,316 – 222,407)	(147,683 – 354,784)

NOTES: *Baseline mortality impact assumptions: PE of LLIN 0.55; default proportion of post-neonatal deaths due to malaria; **Lower mortality impact assumptions: PE of LLIN 0.49; lower uncertainty limit for proportion of post-neonatal deaths due to malaria. Upper mortality impact assumptions: PE of LLIN 0.60; upper uncertainty limit for proportion of post-neonatal deaths due to malaria.