Table 3.
Sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value (PPV) for tests used in the screening for Parkinson's disease (PD) and for Alzheimer's disease (AD) or mild cognitive impairment (MCI)a
| Step 1 tests versus Step 2 tests | Step 2 tests versus Step 3 diagnoses | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | ||
| Step 2 motor failure (UPDRS) | Step 3 PD diagnosis | ||||||
| Step 1 overall motor failure criteria (n=388)b | 93.1 | 22.5 | 37.7 | Step 2 motor failure (UPDRS) (n=367)d | 100 | 75.8 | 28.3 |
| Symptoms, any of 2 positive (n=385) | 62.0 | 71.1 | 51.9 | ||||
| Tremor (n=386) | 40.3 | 90.3 | 67.5 | ||||
| Balance (n=387) | 46.9 | 75.5 | 49.2 | ||||
| Spiral drawing failure (n=382) | 90.5 | 28.5 | 38.4 | ||||
| Step 2 cognitive failure (MMSE) | Step 3 MCI or AD diagnosis | ||||||
| Step 1 overall cognitive failure criteria (n=380)c | 92.8 | 29.0 | 26.7 | Step 2 cognitive failure (MMSE) (n=367)e | 96.4 | 93.6 | 72.6 |
| Animal fluency <10 (n=388) | 51.2 | 82.6 | 52.3 | ||||
| Word recall <3 (n=378) | 88.0 | 32.5 | 26.8 | ||||
The denominators in Step 2 include 24 subjects with negative motor and cognitive test results in Step 1, assumed to be disease-free and untested in Step 2; the denominators in Step 3 include 199 subjects with negative motor and cognitive test results in Step 2, assumed to be disease-free and untested in Step 3.
Overall motor failure criteria, Step 1: any of the two-symptom questions positive OR ≥ 4 abnormal spiral drawings on either hand.
Overall cognitive failure criteria, Step 1: animal fluency <10 OR word recall<3.
Step 2 motor failure: abnormal tremor-at-rest OR abnormal postural tremor OR ≥ 2 other abnormal UPDRS items.
Step 2 cognitive failure: MMSE score<24.