Table 2. Impact of continued ART scale-up on absolute number of HIV infections and proportion of all HIV-infected patients aged 50+ in sub-Saharan Africa.
| HIV infections in population aged 15-49 | HIV infections in population aged 50+ | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Absolute number (× 1000) | Absolute number (× 1000) | As proportion of all infections | |||||||
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| 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 19 325 | 20 244 | 23 358 | 3 119 | 5 307 | 9 059 | 13% | 20% | 27% |
| Central Africa | 1 308 | 1 450 | 1 774 | 211 | 349 | 547 | 14% | 19% | 23% |
| Angola | 150 | 205 | 339 | 21 | 40 | 82 | 12% | 16% | 20% |
| Cameroon | 450 | 431 | 303 | 75 | 135 | 200 | 14% | 24% | 40% |
| Central African Rep. | 110 | 82 | 46 | 21 | 31 | 37 | 16% | 27% | 44% |
| Chad | 83 | 86 | 115 | 14 | 22 | 26 | 14% | 20% | 19% |
| Dem. Rep. Congo | 378 | 500 | 792 | 55 | 86 | 141 | 13% | 15% | 15% |
| The Congo | 54 | 65 | 97 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 14% | 20% | 25% |
| Equatorial Guinea | 21 | 38 | 51 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| Gabon | 49 | 44 | 31 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 14% | 23% | 35% |
| Eastern Africa | 6 147 | 6 956 | 9 138 | 955 | 1 769 | 3 067 | 13% | 20% | 24% |
| Burundi | 115 | 95 | 133 | 22 | 26 | 38 | 16% | 22% | 22% |
| Djibouti | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14% | 22% | 27% |
| Eritrea | 21 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14% | 26% | 34% |
| Ethiopia | 817 | 1 234 | 2 016 | 135 | 263 | 583 | 14% | 18% | 22% |
| Kenya | 1 101 | 728 | 341 | 172 | 319 | 357 | 13% | 30% | 51% |
| Madagascar | 26 | 50 | 78 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 20% | 27% | 34% |
| Mozambique | 1 533 | 1 888 | 2 366 | 215 | 397 | 752 | 12% | 17% | 24% |
| Rwanda | 140 | 90 | 83 | 30 | 56 | 62 | 19% | 38% | 43% |
| Somalia | 31 | 54 | 80 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 14% | 17% | 21% |
| Sudan | 339 | 631 | 1 054 | 44 | 140 | 318 | 12% | 18% | 23% |
| Tanzania | 1 126 | 846 | 458 | 189 | 342 | 426 | 14% | 29% | 48% |
| Uganda | 751 | 1 314 | 2 501 | 84 | 188 | 456 | 10% | 13% | 15% |
| Southern Africa | 8 443 | 8 211 | 8 196 | 1 356 | 2 202 | 3 706 | 13% | 19% | 29% |
| Botswana | 286 | 310 | 425 | 43 | 91 | 175 | 15% | 23% | 29% |
| Lesotho | 298 | 375 | 450 | 34 | 55 | 105 | 10% | 13% | 19% |
| Malawi | 773 | 909 | 1 602 | 112 | 209 | 429 | 13% | 19% | 21% |
| Namibia | 185 | 132 | 76 | 26 | 35 | 47 | 12% | 21% | 38% |
| South Africa | 5 120 | 4 902 | 3 733 | 822 | 1 293 | 2 065 | 14% | 21% | 36% |
| Swaziland | 147 | 201 | 289 | 20 | 43 | 84 | 12% | 18% | 22% |
| Zambia | 692 | 763 | 1 326 | 89 | 185 | 361 | 11% | 20% | 21% |
| Zimbabwe | 798 | 618 | 295 | 158 | 291 | 440 | 16% | 32% | 60% |
| Western Africa | 3 428 | 3 626 | 4 249 | 594 | 987 | 1 739 | 15% | 21% | 29% |
| Benin | 47 | 36 | 35 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 17% | 31% | 38% |
| Burkina Faso | 74 | 61 | 62 | 14 | 22 | 27 | 16% | 26% | 30% |
| Côte D'Ivoire | 370 | 288 | 176 | 77 | 122 | 170 | 17% | 30% | 49% |
| The Gambia | 15 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9% | 12% | 15% |
| Ghana | 225 | 256 | 257 | 38 | 82 | 153 | 15% | 24% | 37% |
| Guinea | 66 | 70 | 88 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 14% | 24% | 28% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 11 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15% | 24% | 29% |
| Liberia | 24 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16% | 28% | 39% |
| Mali | 77 | 57 | 56 | 13 | 20 | 27 | 14% | 26% | 33% |
| Mauritania | 12 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15% | 28% | 41% |
| Niger | 48 | 46 | 53 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 17% | 30% | 37% |
| Nigeria | 2 299 | 2 542 | 3 188 | 373 | 620 | 1 158 | 14% | 20% | 27% |
| Senegal | 54 | 76 | 100 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 12% | 19% | 26% |
| Sierra Leone | 38 | 62 | 82 | 5 | 101 | 18 | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| Togo | 47 | 62 | 69 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 13% | 20% | 31% |