Table 4.
Projected excess mortality per year attributable to heat waves during 2057–2059 under different heat wave definitions, population projections, and emission scenarios (mean ± SD).
| Factor | Category | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat wave definitions | HWD_HI | 898 ± 509 | 1,668 ± 936 |
| HWD_Tmax | 707 ± 378 | 2,496 ± 1,515 | |
| HWD_Tavg | 1,953 ± 1,033 | 4,499 ± 2,274 | |
| HWD_Tmin | 2,053 ± 1,091 | 4,759 ± 2,315 | |
| Population projection | Extreme high | 1,568 ± 1,118 | 3,746 ± 2,484 |
| High | 1,472 ± 1,048 | 3,517 ± 2,334 | |
| Low | 1,412 ± 1,006 | 3,377 ± 2,242 | |
| Extreme low | 1,159 ± 826 | 2,783 ± 1,854 |