Table 4.

Estimated parameters from the Shiffman data under an expanded model for recall.

	Random Effects Model		Independence Model
Parameter	Posterior mode	95% CI	Posterior mode	95% CI
Latent recall: Poisson model
Intercept: β0	2.34	[2.21, 2.49]	1.51	[1.44, 1.58]
ln(EMA): β1	0.25	[0.23, 0.28]	0.53	[0.51, 0.55]
Addicted
Possible vs. Definite	0.07	[−0.10, 0.24]	0.05	[0.01, 0.09]
Probable vs. Definite	−0.01	[−0.11, 0.08]	−0.02	[−0.04, 0.006]
FTND	0.06	[0.04, 0.08]	0.04	[0.03, 0.05]
NDSS	0.08	[0.05, 0.12]	0.05	[0.04, 0.06]
EMA compliance	0.13	[−0.28, 0.51]	0.39	[0.29, 0.49]
Age	0.002	[−0.001, 0.006]	0.003	[0.002, 0.004]
Race (Black vs. White)	−0.14	[−0.27, −0.01]	−0.06	[−0.10, −0.03]
Sex (Male vs. Female)	0.16	[0.10, 0.23]	0.12	[0.09, 0.23]
Education	−0.001	[−0.03, 0.02]	0.003	[−0.004, 0.009]
${\sigma }_b^2$	0.06	[0.05, 0.07]
Heaping behavior: Proportional odds model
Intercept 1: γ1	−1.62	[−2.35, −0.90]	−1.14	[−1.37, −0.91]
Intercept 2: γ2	−5.52	[−6.42, −4.61]	−3.15	[−3.47, −2.82]
Intercept 3: γ3	−10.31	[−12.65, −8.37]	−4.54	[−4.99, −4.08]
Exact count: w	0.11	[0.09, 0.14]	0.07	[0.06, 0.08]
Visit day	−2.99	[−3.51, −2.47]	−1.26	[−1.50, −1.02]
${\sigma }_u^2$	6.79	[4.73, 8.68]