Table 5.

Predictors of negative consequences in the freshman year

	Model 1				Model 2	Model 3	Model 4
Negative consequence	Gender	Race	Semester	Biweek of the semester	No. of drinking days	Drinks per drinking day	Avg. estimated BAC
No. of negative consequences in the weeka	1.03 [0.89, 1.19]	1.14 [0.97, 1.34]	0.84 [0.77, 0.91]***	0.97 [0.95, 0.98]***	1.25 [1.22, 1.29]***	2.34 [2.19, 2.50]***	2.09 [1.98, 2.20]***
Got physically sick (e.g. vomit, stomach cramps)	0.98 [0.82, 1.19]	1.20 [0.97, 1.47]	0.74 [0.64, 0.86]***	0.97 [0.95, 1.00]*	1.21 [1.15, 1.28]***	3.34 [2.90, 3.85]***	2.85 [2.52, 3.23]***
Couldn’t remember some part of the day or night	0.89 [0.72, 1.11]	1.06 [0.83, 1.37]	0.81 [0.71, 0.93]**	0.95 [0.92, 0.97]***	1.40 [1.33, 1.48]***	5.44 [4.65, 6.36]***	4.32 [3.80, 4.91]***
Said something that I wish I hadn’t	1.29 [1.01, 1.64]*	1.10 [0.85, 1.42]	0.89 [0.76, 1.05]	0.95 [0.92, 0.98]**	1.28 [1.21, 1.35]***	2.47 [2.16, 2.81]***	2.26 [2.01, 2.54]***
Felt sad or depressed	1.32 [1.04, 1.67]*	0.97 [0.74, 1.28]	0.90 [0.76, 1.07]	0.97 [0.94, 1.00]*	1.22 [1.15, 1.30]***	1.72 [1.51, 1.96]***	1.73 [1.53, 1.94]***
Disappointed others who are close to me	1.47 [1.13, 1.91]**	1.24 [0.93, 1.64]	0.78 [0.64, 0.96]*	0.94 [0.90, 0.97]**	1.27 [1.19, 1.35]***	2.51 [2.14, 2.93]***	2.23 [1.95, 2.55]***
Had a romantic or sexual activity that I now regret	1.67 [1.26, 2.22]***	1.08 [0.80, 1.47]	0.73 [0.59, 0.90]**	0.97 [0.93, 1.00]	1.42 [1.33, 1.52]***	2.52 [2.15, 2.94]***	2.25 [1.98, 2.55]***
Had problems with school work	0.90 [0.66, 1.22]	1.67 [1.22, 2.29]**	0.81 [0.65, 1.01]	0.96 [0.93, 1.00]*	1.44 [1.34, 1.54]***	2.09 [1.80, 2.42]***	2.03 [1.76, 2.34]***
Passed out	0.69 [0.47, 1.01]	1.48 [0.98, 2.25]	0.86 [0.64, 1.14]	1.00 [0.96, 1.04]	1.40 [1.29, 1.51]***	3.45 [2.84, 4.18]***	2.92 [2.45, 3.48]***
Was physically injured	0.90 [0.63, 1.29]	1.11 [0.76, 1.61]	0.77 [0.59, 1.01]	0.97 [0.92, 1.02]	1.43 [1. 31, 1.56]***	3.19 [2.55, 3.99]***	2.74 [2.25, 3.33]***
Drove after drinking and realized I should not have	0.60 [0.37, 0.96]*	1.20 [0.64, 2.25]	1.09 [0.79, 1.49]	1.01 [0.95, 1.07]	1.40 [1.24, 1.58]***	1.55 [1.22, 1.96]***	1.58 [1.27, 1.97]***
Got into trouble with my school authorities or police	0.71 [0.47, 1.09]	1.60 [0.98, 2.62]	0.95 [0.61, 1.48]	0.96 [0.89, 1.04]	1.27 [1.12, 1 44]***	1.93 [1.36, 2.75]***	1.78 [1.38, 2.29]***
Accidentally physically hurt someone	1.00 [0.59, 1.70]	1.44 [0.84, 2.47]	0.74 [0.49, 1.11]	0.89 [0.83, 0.95]**	1.37 [1.20, 1.56]***	2.59 [1.95, 3.43]***	2.33 [1.79, 3.02]***
Got into a physical fight	0.58 [0.32, 1.07]	0.93 [0.49, 1.76]	0.88 [0.53, 1.44]	1.00 [0.92, 1.08]	1.44 [1.29, 1.61]***	2.84 [1.81, 4.44]***	2.10 [1.53, 2.88]***

Notes: College site was included as a covariate. Gender: male = 0, female = 1. Race/ethnicity: non-Hispanic White = 0, other = 1. Semester: fall = 0, spring = 1. Biweek of semester coded: 1–8. Number (no.) of drinking days, drinks per drinking day, and average (avg.) estimated blood alcohol concentration (BAC) in Models 2–4 were per-week averages. Estimated BAC was multiplied by 10. Model 2 includes all variables from Model 1 as covariates. Models 3 and 4 include variables from Model 1 and 2 as covariates.

^aFor the first data row (total number of consequences), a Poisson distribution was used, so coefficients are incidence rate ratios with confidence intervals. For the individual consequences, a binomial distribution was used, so coefficients are odds ratios with confidence intervals.

^*p < .05;

^**p < .01;

^***p < .001.