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. 2014 Jan 20;9(1):e86468. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086468

Figure 6. Choosing the best models.

Figure 6

(a) Bayes factors for the two-variable Inline graphic models (black) and for the three-variable Inline graphic models (violet). The two red marked models refer to equation 8 and equation 12. (b) Bayes factors for the two-variable Inline graphic models (black) and for the three-variable Inline graphic models (violet). The two red marked models refer to equation 9 and equation 13. In both cases, the Bayes factor for the two and three variable models are calculated over the same subset of data, which is (necessarily) one year shorter than that used in Fig. 2 and Fig. 4.