Table 2. Average impact of simulated FMD epizootics according to the risk perception of decision makers and to the geographic level at which the control strategy is chosen and applied.
Impact | Decision-makers risk perception | Geographic decision level | National/Regional | |
National mean (sd1) | Regional mean (sd) | Ratio for mean (sd) | ||
Public costs5 | Risk neutral | 16.7 (33.7)2 | 16.0 (33.5) | 0.95 (1.00) |
Risk averse | 16.7 (33.7)2 | 16.3 (33.4) | 0.97 (0.99) | |
Export losses5 | Risk neutral | 275.7 (502.9)3 | 250.0 (457.2) | 0.91 (0.91) |
Risk averse | 308.3 (456.2)4 | 277.4 (430.8) | 0.90 (0.94) | |
Slaughtered herds | Risk neutral | 45.2 (107.0)2 | 45.0 (106.8) | 1.00 (1.00) |
Risk averse | 45.2 (107.0)2 | 45.3 (106.6) | 1.00 (1.00) |
Standard deviation.
Optimal strategy: protective vaccination.
Optimal strategy: suppressive vaccination.
Optimal strategy: selective protective vaccination.
Million €.
Note: National level: a single decision is taken and applied to the whole country. Regional level: specific decisions are taken and applied in each region.