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. 2014 Jan 21;9(1):e86323. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086323

Table 2. Average impact of simulated FMD epizootics according to the risk perception of decision makers and to the geographic level at which the control strategy is chosen and applied.

Impact Decision-makers risk perception Geographic decision level National/Regional
National mean (sd1) Regional mean (sd) Ratio for mean (sd)
Public costs5 Risk neutral 16.7 (33.7)2 16.0 (33.5) 0.95 (1.00)
Risk averse 16.7 (33.7)2 16.3 (33.4) 0.97 (0.99)
Export losses5 Risk neutral 275.7 (502.9)3 250.0 (457.2) 0.91 (0.91)
Risk averse 308.3 (456.2)4 277.4 (430.8) 0.90 (0.94)
Slaughtered herds Risk neutral 45.2 (107.0)2 45.0 (106.8) 1.00 (1.00)
Risk averse 45.2 (107.0)2 45.3 (106.6) 1.00 (1.00)
1

Standard deviation.

2

Optimal strategy: protective vaccination.

3

Optimal strategy: suppressive vaccination.

4

Optimal strategy: selective protective vaccination.

5

Million €.

Note: National level: a single decision is taken and applied to the whole country. Regional level: specific decisions are taken and applied in each region.