Table 2. Baseline and 2016 target coverage levels of the community empowerment-based prevention intervention and ART per scenario and country.
| Modeling scenarios | Brazil | Kenya | Thailand | Ukraine | |
| Status quo | Baseline coverage of Empowerment Intervention held constant among female sex workers (2011–16) | 10.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| ART coverage of adults (%) held constant among total population* (2011–16) | 66.2% | 62.7% | 67.0% | 12.0% | |
| Empowerment Intervention modeling scenarios | |||||
| Scenario 1: | Interpolated scale-up of Empowerment coverage from 2011 to additional 30% by 2016 | 40.0% | 35.0% | 40.0% | 35.0% |
| ART coverage of adults (%) held constant among total population* (2011–16) | 66.2% | 62.7% | 67.0% | 12.0% | |
| Scenario 2: | Interpolated scale-up of Empowerment coverage from 2011 to additional 60% by 2016 | 70.0% | 65.0% | 70.0% | 65.0% |
| ART coverage of adults (%) held constant among total population* (2011–16) | 66.2% | 62.7% | 67.0% | 12.0% | |
| Scenario 3: | Interpolated scale-up of Empowerment coverage from 2011 to reach 100% by 2016 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| ART coverage of adults (%) held constant among total population* (2011–16) | 66.2% | 62.7% | 67.0% | 12.0% | |
| ART modeling scenarios | Brazil | Kenya | Thailand | Ukraine | |
| Scenario 1: | Scale-up in coverage of ART by 2016 according to country estimations (% coverage)* | 80.0% | 85.0% | 71.2% | 24.0% |
| Baseline coverage of Empowerment Intervention held constant among female sex workers (%, 2011–16) | 10.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | |
| Scenario 2: | Scale-up in coverage of ART among adults: % covered by 2016 | 80.0% | 85.0% | 71.2% | 24.0% |
| Interpolated scale-up of Empowerment coverage from 2011 to additional 60% by 2016 | 70.0% | 65.0% | 70.0% | 65.0% | |
Note: Grey text represents intervention coverage held constant from 2011–2016 during scenario; *Baseline ART and scale-up among adults based on county UNAIDS projections estimates.