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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Feb 10.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2012 Apr 27;379(9831):2053–2062. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)60441-3

Table 2.

Overall hazard ratios for each endpoint per one SD increase in mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness in four models

Yearly carotid intima-media thickness progression
Mean carotid intima-media thickness of scans 1 and 2
Overall HR (95% CI) I2 (p)* Overall HR (95% CI) I2 (p)*
Myocardial infarction
Model 1 0·99 (0·94–1·04) 0·0% (0·9216) .. ..
Model 2 0·96 (0·92–1·01) 0·0% (0·9857) 1·30 (1·19–1·43) 57·5% (0·0067)
Model 3 0·96 (0·92–1·01) 0·0% (0·9831) 1·30 (1·19–1·43) 56·9% (0·0076)
Model 4 0·97 (0·92–1·02) 0·0% (0·9841) 1·22 (1·14–1·30) 21·6% (0·2302)

Stroke
Model 1 1·01 (0·96–1·07) 0·0% (0·7598) .. ..
Model 2 0·99 (0·95–1·04) 0·0% (0·5969) 1·32 (1·19–1·48) 67·0% (0·0005)
Model 3 0·99 (0·95–1·05) 0·0% (0·5933) 1·32 (1·20–1·45) 54·1% (0·0128)
Model 4 1·00 (0·95–1·05) 0·0% (0·5134) 1·21 (1·09–1·35) 57·5% (0·0068)

Combined§
Model 1 0·99 (0·96–1·03) 16·0% (0·2832) .. ..
Model 2 0·97 (0·94–1·00) 0·0% (0·5583) 1·24 (1·16–1·32) 70·5% (<0·0001)
Model 3 0·97 (0·94–1·00) 0·0% (0·5588) 1·23 (1·17–1·31) 60·3% (0·0026)
Model 4 0·98 (0·95–1·01) 0·0% (0·7114) 1·16 (1·10–1·22) 47·4% (0·0294)

Death
Model 1 1·00 (0·97–1·03) 0·0% (0·5991) .. ..
Model 2 0·98 (0·95–1·01) 0·0% (0·9886) 1·15 (1·08–1·22) 60·7% (0·0012)
Model 3 0·98 (0·95–1·01) 0·0% (0·9859) 1·15 (1·09–1·21) 44·5% (0·0325)
Model 4 0·99 (0·96–1·02) 0·0% (0·9996) 1·10 (1·05–1·16) 36·8% (0·0754)
*

p value of test for heterogeneity.

Studies included: Atherosclerosis and Insulin Resistance study; Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study; Cardiovascular Health Study, cohorts 1 and 2; Edinburgh Artery Study; Interventionsprojekt zerebrovaskuläre Erkrankungen und Demenz im Landkreis Ebersberg; Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Study; Progression of Lesions in the Intima of the Carotid; Rotterdam; Study of Health in Pomerania; Tromsø Study.

Studies included: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study; Cardiovascular Health Study, cohorts 1 and 2; Edinburgh Artery Study; Interventionsprojekt zerebrovaskuläre Erkrankungen und Demenz im Landkreis Ebersberg; Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Study; Northern Manhattan Study/Infections and Vascular Disease Epidemiology Study; Progression of Lesions in the Intima of the Carotid; Rotterdam Study; Study of Health in Pomerania; Tromsø Study.

§

Studies included: Atherosclerosis and Insulin Resistance study; Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study; Cardiovascular Health Study, cohorts 1 and 2; Edinburgh Artery Study; Interventionsprojekt zerebrovaskuläre Erkrankungen und Demenz im Landkreis Ebersberg; Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Study; Northern Manhattan Study/Infections and Vascular Disease Epidemiology Study; Progression of Lesions in the Intima of the Carotid; Rotterdam Study; Tromsø Study.

Studies included: Atherosclerosis and Insulin Resistance study; Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study; Cardiovascular Health Study, cohorts 1 and 2; Edinburgh Artery Study; Etude sur le vieillissement artériel; Interventionsprojekt zerebrovaskuläre Erkrankungen und Demenz im Landkreis Ebersberg; Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Study; Northern Manhattan Study/Infections and Vascular Disease Epidemiology Study; Prospective Investigation of the Vasculature in Uppsala Seniors; Progression of Lesions in the Intima of the Carotid; Rotterdam Study; Study of Health in Pomerania; Tromsø Study.