Figure 2. Observed and fitted incidence of clinical malaria by age.

(a–w) Model fits are the median and 95% interval of the predicted incidence over the joint posterior distribution of the parameters and study-specific random effects. Sites are labelled by country and place, with the study year(s) to distinguish studies in the same place. Plots are ordered by posterior EIR. The blue solid symbols are the observed data; the green lines and shaded areas are the fitted model with 95% credible intervals; and the hollow orange symbols are the fitted model averaged over the age groups in the observed data.