Table 4.
A posterior summary of the results of hierarchical Bayesian models from WinBUGS.
| # of Model | Explanation Variables | Mean | SD | MC Error | Credible Interval | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5% | 97.5% | |||||
| 1 | Intercept | −0.2729 | 0.02323 | 2.873E-4 | −0.3187 | −0.228 |
| Coefficient | 0.4525 | 0.03394 | 4.168E-4 | 0.3862 | 0.519 | |
| 2 | Intercept | −0.6257 | 0.009773 | 3.893E-5 | −0.6449 | −0.6066 |
| 3 | Intercept | 0.05549 | 0.07219 | 0.001014 | −0.08567 | 0.197 |
| Variance of unstructured component | 4.373 | 1.032 | 0.006073 | 2.633 | 6.666 | |
| 4 | Intercept | 0.06246 | 0.03228 | 1.39E-4 | −0.001213 | 0.1252 |
| Variance of structured component | 1.015 | 0.1706 | 0.001032 | 0.7188 | 1.386 | |
| 5 | Intercept | 0.07391 | 0.05503 | 5.591E-4 | −0.03969 | 0.1805 |
| Variance of unstructured component | 819.7 | 13,800.0 | 435.8 | 3.965 | 1,710.0 | |
| Variance of structured component | 2.207 | 2.364 | 0.08871 | 0.9082 | 6.592 | |
| 6 | Intercept | −0.03228 | 0.2274 | 0.01064 | −0.4436 | 0.4754 |
| Coefficient | 0.1787 | 0.3556 | 0.0167 | −0.6419 | 0.8033 | |
| Variance of structured component | 17.75 | 203.0 | 7.739 | 0.8435 | 48.67 | |
| Variance of unstructured component | 26.78 | 188.6 | 6.437 | 3.147 | 122.8 | |