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. 2013 Dec 28;88(3):701–723. doi: 10.1007/s00204-013-1156-8

Table 10.

Resampling probabilities of 10,000 theoretical chemicals according to UN GHS/EU CLP criteria

True class Database Endpoint Sample size Predicted class
No Cat Cat 2 Cat 1
No Cat RCD 606 99.9 0.1 0.0
NCD 4,611 99.9 0.1 0.0
Cat 2 RCD Alla 162 3.9 95.5 0.6
1 ≤ COMaj b < 3 124 2.3 97.2 0.6
CRMaj/CCMaj c ≥ 2 (and COMaj b < 1) 38 6.0 94.1 NA
NCD All 582 11.7 88.2 0.1
1 ≤ COMaj b < 3 315 5.0 94.8 0.2
CRMaj/CCMaj c ≥ 2 (and COMaj b < 1) 252 9.7 90.3 NA
1 ≤ IRMaj b ≤ 1.5 only 15 7.6 92.4 0.0
Cat 1 RCD All 187 0.0 10.8 89.2
COMaj b ≥ 3 43 0.0 1.7 98.3
CO = 4d (and COMaj b < 3) 61 0.0 13.0 87.0
IRMaj b > 1.5 only 7 0.0 14.2 85.8
Persistence only 76 0.1 13.5 86.4
NCD COMaj b ≥ 3 + IRMaj b > 1.5 onlye 63 0.0 7.2 92.8
COMaj b ≥ 3 48 0.0 1.9 98.1
IRMaj b > 1.5 only 15 0.0 8.2 91.8

Proportions in bold represent agreement between the predicted classification and the true classification

RCD Reference Chemicals Databases, NCD European New Chemicals Database, CO corneal opacity, CR conjunctiva redness, CC conjunctiva chemosis, IR iritis, NA not applicable

aNone of the chemicals in this group was classified based on the driver 1 ≤ IRMaj ≤ 1.5 only

bsecond (n = 3 or 4) or third (n = 5 or 6) highest mean score

cThe largest of the second (n = 3 or 4) or third (n = 5 or 6) highest mean CR and CC scores

dObserved any time during the observation period (before day 21)

eIndividual animal data only accessible for the mean scores of days 1–3. Information on persistence of effects is only available in the form of comments, often not specifying in which tissues and in how many animals the persistence of effects was observed. Consequently, it was not possible to estimate the resampling probabilities for the chemicals that were classified based only on CO = 4 (observed any time during the observation period, before day 21) or persistence of a tissue effect. The resampling probabilities reported for the classification drivers COMaj ≥ 3 and IRMaj > 1.5 should therefore not be considered as representative of the overall resampling probabilities for chemicals classified as Cat 1 in the NCD