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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Gastroenterology. 2013 Jul 13;145(4):782–9.e4. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2013.06.057

Table 4.

Cumulative Probability (Unadjusted) of Outcomes by Score Risk Category

NAFLD-FS
APRI
FIB-4
BARD
Outcome Events (n) Unadjusted cumulative (%)a P value Events (n) Unadjusted cumulative (%)a P value Events (n) Unadjusted cumulative (%)a P value Events (n) Unadjusted cumulative (%)a P value
Liver events (n = 309) <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001
    Low risk 2/125 1.6 1/90 1.1 3/111 2.7 2/119 1.7
    Intermediate risk 12/115 10.4 21/162 13 4/112 3.6 23/119 19.3
    High risk 29/69 42 21/57 36.8 36/86 41.9 18/71 25.4
Mortality (n = 320) <.001 <.001 <.001 .01
    Low risk 5/125 4 9/93 9.7 6/111 5.4 5/119 4.2
    Intermediate risk 20/120 16.7 17/169 10 14/117 12 21/124 16.9
    High risk 16/75 21.3 15/58 25.9 21/92 22.8 15/77 19.5

NOTE. Risk category: low risk, NAFLD-FS <–1.455; APRI <0.5; FIB-4 <1.30; BARD 0/1; moderate risk, NAFLD-FS –1.455 to 0.676; APRI 0.5 to 1.5; FIB-4 1.30 to 2.67; BARD 2/3; high risk, NAFLD-FS >0.676; APRI >1.5; FIB-4 >2.67; BARD 4.

a

Estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis.