Table 2. Statistical model parameter estimates of modern and fossil corals at Nagura Bay.

Sample	Responseparameter	Explanatory parameters	AIC	Parameters	Slope	Error ofslope
Modern	Calcification rate	Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak	9.2	AnnualSST	−0.77	0.32
		Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak+Prep.	10	Ba/Capeak	−1.78	0.07
		DHM+Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak	10.6
	Extension rate	Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak	−7.3	AnnualSST	−0.40	0.17
		DHM+Ba/Ca peak	−7.2	Ba/Capeak	−0.82	0.36
		DHM+Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak	−6.7
	Skeletal density	Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak+Prep.	−26.4	AnnualSST	−0.25	0.18
		Annual SST+Ba/Ca peak	−25.6	Ba/Capeak	−0.62	0.10
		DHM+Annual SST+Ba/Capeak+Prep.	−25.2	Prep.	9.27E-05	6.25E-05
1.2 kyr BP	Calcification rate	None	4.6		–
		Annual SST	6.3
		DHM+Annual SST	6.3
	Extension rate	None	−6.9		–
		DHM+Annual SST	−6
		DHM	−5.5
	Skeletal density	DHM	−22.6	DHM	0.03	0.02
		Minimum SST	−21.9
		Annual SST	−21.6
3.5 kyr BP	Calcification rate	None	59		–
		Annual SST	59.8
		DHM	60.7
	Extension rate	DHM	33.6	DHM	−0.07	0.07
		Annual SST	34.4
		Minimum SST	35.3
	Skeletal density	DHM	−37.7	DHM	0.05	0.02
		DHM+Annual SST	−38.6
		Annual SST	−38.5

Bold text indicates the selected models. Prep: precipitation.