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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Stat Methods Med Res. 2013 Jul 30;25(4):1692–1706. doi: 10.1177/0962280213497434

Table 1. Simulation comparing empirical size of the goodness-of-fit test obtained using our model-based approach and the extrapolation method with 6 risk score groups and α=0.05 for an exponential baseline hazard function.

n Censoring % Type 1 error: Model-based approach Type 1 error: Extrapolation approach Mean observed events Mean projected events in extrapolation approach
500 10% 0.031 0.054 314 338
500 20% 0.035 0.080 301 338
500 30% 0.018 0.161 272 338
500 40% 0.028 0.276 256 338
500 50% 0.030 0.591 232 338

200 10% 0.025 0.063 124 134
200 20% 0.026 0.088 119 134
200 30% 0.026 0.213 108 134
200 40% 0.038 0.329 101 134
200 50% 0.031 0.573 92 134
*

results based on 1000 replications for each simulation