Table 2. Space-time clusters of DF transmission in the Asia-Pacific region, 1955–2004.
Cluster | Countries | Radius (km) | Time frame | No. Obs. | No. Exp. | Relative risk | LLR* |
1955–1964 | |||||||
1† | Thailand | 0 | 1960/1/1 to 1964/12/31 | 18337 | 527.21 | 96.13 | 54814.34 |
2 | Philippines | 0 | 1960/1/1 to 1964/12/31 | 3092 | 571.13 | 5.95 | 2819.03 |
1965–1974 | |||||||
1† | Singapore, Malaysia,Thailand, Vietnam | 1711.16 | 1971/1/1 to 1974/12/31 | 76393 | 6143.11 | 24.05 | 142940.013 |
2 | Philippines | 0 | 1966/1/1 to 1966/12/31 | 9384 | 528.09 | 18.88 | 18411.19 |
3 | Myanmar | 847.81 | 1974/1/1 to 1974/12/31 | 2477 | 1755.02 | 1.42 | 133.25 |
1975–1984 | |||||||
1† | Vietnam, Laos, Thailand | 812.13 | 1980/1/1 to 1984/12/31 | 510942 | 38105.18 | 31.06 | 1024627.77 |
2 | Cook Islands | 0 | 1980/1/1 to 1980/12/31 | 357 | 1.31 | 273.01 | 1646.82 |
3 | Malaysia | 0 | 1982/1/1 to 1982/12/31 | 3052 | 1114.03 | 2.75 | 1140.04 |
4 | Indonesia | 0 | 1983/1/1 to 1984/12/31 | 26585 | 23294.07 | 1.15 | 228.63 |
1985–1994 | |||||||
1† | Vietnam, Laos, Thailand | 812.13 | 1987/1/1 to 1991/12/31 | 1034416 | 79277 | 27.18 | 2009818.49 |
2 | Cook Islands | 0 | 1991/1/1 to 1991/12/31 | 1776 | 2.54 | 699.17 | 9858.32 |
3 | Indonesia | 0 | 1988/1/1 to 1988/12/31 | 44573 | 23048 | 1.96 | 7995.79 |
4 | Maldives | 0 | 1988/1/1 to 1988/12/31 | 2054 | 30.41 | 67.61 | 6630.25 |
5 | Philippines | 0 | 1991/1/1 to 1991/12/31 | 11317 | 8290 | 1.37 | 497.68 |
1995–2004 | |||||||
1† | Singapore, Malaysia,Thailand, Vietnam, Laos | 1872.04 | 1995/1/1 to 1998/12/31 | 852301 | 95356.45 | 13.02 | 1243215.57 |
2 | Philippines | 0 | 2001/1/1 to 2004/12/31 | 94651 | 45564.40 | 2.12 | 21013.62 |
3 | Sri Lanka, Maldives | 983.29 | 2002/1/1 to 2004/12/31 | 29895 | 8771.22 | 3.44 | 15623.32 |
No. Obs, number of observed cases; No. Exp, number of expected cases; LLR, Log -likelihood Ratio.
*P<0.05;
Most likely cluster.