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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Feb 28.
Published in final edited form as: Am Nat. 2011 Oct 26;178(6):E174–E188. doi: 10.1086/662670

Table 2. Model comparisons using Bayes factors (likelihood ratios of two competing models) and biological interpretations.

Genotype BF ± 1 SE Interpretation of BF
A. Immune response required? Comparing hybrid
  model with Mideo et al. (2008b) model:
 AS + DK (5.5 ± 3.0) × 1052 Immune responses required to explain data
B. Age-structure required? Comparing hybrid
  model with Miller et al. (2010) model:
 AS + DK .44 ± .08 Age structure not required to explain data
C. Removal of extra death rate for multiply
  parasitized RBCs:
 AS + DK (1.1 ± .2) × 1016 Increased death rate required to explain data
D. Removal of immune-mediated merozoite clear-
  ance from model:
 AS (1.1 ± 1.1) × 1016 Decisive evidence of clearance of AS merozoites
 DK 1.0 ± .1 No evidence of clearance of DK merozoites
E. Removal of immune-mediated parasitized RBC
  clearance from model:
 AS 3.6 ± .4 Some evidence of parasitized RBC clearance
 DK 2.8 ± .7 Some evidence of parasitized RBC clearance
F. Removal of immune-mediated unparasitized
  RBC clearance from model:
 AS 4.9 ± .5 Some evidence of unparasitized RBC clearance
DK .40 ± .05 No evidence of unparasitized RBC clearance

Note: Values are Bayes factors (BF) ± 1 standard error of the BF. A, Original model from Mideo et al. (2008b) versus hybrid model incorporating age structure and immunity. B, C, Comparisons of hybrid model with reduced versions. D–F, Effects of removing key immune components from hybrid model. RBC = red blood cell.